Ancient-Particular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-15 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% $-4

Other

43% 100% +$6

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	-24	$-16	50¢	$-12	+$4	05-31 08:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$5	60¢	$6	+$1	06-03 15:08
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	+6	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	06-03 15:07
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+6	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	06-14 04:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	06-14 04:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+9	$5	21¢	$2	$-3	06-15 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:22:57	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xae09da…
06-14 04:13:45	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x57387a…
06-14 04:12:51	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x50d396…
06-14 04:11:00	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xef5de3…
06-14 04:10:16	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbb7ba0…
06-14 04:09:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb44051…
06-14 04:08:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x78faac…
06-14 04:06:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe37f76…
06-11 13:16:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xca4723…
06-11 13:16:30	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf6ec64…
06-06 07:23:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbdeeed…
06-03 15:10:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7fb70b…
06-03 15:08:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x41ec84…
06-03 15:07:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9d22d7…
05-31 09:00:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x512e94…
05-31 08:59:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x028830…
05-31 08:59:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf93c00…
05-31 08:59:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x5d8e35…
05-31 08:59:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0x5e0e0e…
05-31 08:59:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	70¢	$23	0xc7bd3e…
05-19 13:15:22	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd2a19e…
05-19 13:15:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x79263b…
05-16 11:11:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x254744…
05-07 16:46:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeca90c…
05-07 16:43:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf9fc15…
05-07 16:42:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x269805…
05-07 16:41:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcb7365…
05-07 13:25:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7082ea…
05-05 16:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x60d88f…
05-04 16:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfdeea2…
05-02 14:23:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2810f2…
05-01 12:27:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd314e2…
05-01 12:25:54	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xed41ef…
05-01 12:23:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7a8408…
05-01 12:21:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2bc382…
05-01 02:34:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x156cc7…
05-01 02:33:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2f3af9…
05-01 02:28:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa76a97…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x43008d…
04-27 15:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaa773f…
04-26 10:48:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0dd80a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	33	-33	open	—	05-31 08:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 08:59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	1	$16	0	24	-24	open	—	05-31 08:59
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-06 07:23
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-14 04:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	05-01 12:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	1	$10	0	17	-17	open	—	05-31 09:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-07 16:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 02:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-03 15:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-07 16:41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-15 15:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-07 16:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 14:23
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 15:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	$-5	05-01 12:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-14 04:08
ebola pandemic in 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-14 04:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 12:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	05-05 16:41
New pandemic in 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-14 04:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 11:11
ebola case in the us by june 30	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-14 04:10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-01 02:33
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-07 13:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 15:10
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 13:15
will china have an ebola case in 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-14 04:12