Taut-Body 0x9d5543…c8edde
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$300
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved (90d)
627
Trades (90d)
2,740
16,806 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.96K
$31.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-06 04:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 53% -$300
Other
11% 56% +$10
Politics
7% 59% +$28
Sports
2% 53% -$11
Tech
1% 61% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 18% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4 -$3 97¢ $-4 $0 05-15 12:59
Celonis IPO before 2027? No -3 -$3 91¢ $-3 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5 -$1 42¢ $-2 -$2 05-15 12:58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 $0 44¢ $-2 -$2 05-09 15:45
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -2 -$1 72¢ $-2 -$1 05-15 12:58
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 95¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 05-23 04:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1 $0 68¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 12:59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$1 11¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 10:29
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 55¢ $-1 $0 05-15 12:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 10¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 08:29
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 9¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 15:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 36¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -2 $0 15¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -0 $0 51¢ $-0 $0 05-15 12:49
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 11:38
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-22 11:48
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 05-23 03:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -4 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 04-29 14:28
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-11 05:22
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 11:08
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -1 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 04-28 20:43
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -1 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50