Taut-Body 0x9d5543…c8edde Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$281
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
4,493
Trades
16,806
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-06 04:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 53% -$300
Other
11% 56% +$9
Politics
7% 60% +$29
Sports
2% 53% -$12
Tech
1% 61% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 18% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -4 -$3 98¢ $-4 -$1 05-15 12:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -5 -$1 64¢ $-3 -$3 05-15 12:58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 $0 67¢ $-3 -$3 05-09 15:45
Celonis IPO before 2027? No -3 -$3 71¢ $-2 +$1 05-15 12:59
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -2 -$1 79¢ $-2 -$1 05-15 12:58
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 95¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 88¢ $-1 $0 05-23 04:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1 $0 65¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 12:59
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 55¢ $-1 $0 05-15 12:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 08:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 10:29
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 15:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 23¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -0 $0 53¢ $-0 $0 05-15 12:49
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 11:38
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-22 11:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-23 03:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-11 05:22
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -2 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 04-29 14:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 7¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:58
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -4 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 11:08
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-10 10:56
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes -4 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:59
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 12:50