Violet-Mattress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,141

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-27 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

68% 0% $-27

Other

27% 33% $-31

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		-5	$-0	18¢	$-1	$-1	06-14 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	113	$1.5K	1,378	1,378	+0	open	—	04-22 00:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	46	$849	1,468	1,468	+0	open	—	04-29 20:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	24	$681	461	460	+1	open	—	04-21 19:54
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	13	$636	381	380	+1	open	—	04-19 12:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	73	$629	1,087	1,086	+1	open	—	04-29 20:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	14	$574	399	192	+207	open	—	04-21 00:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	30	$392	455	454	+0	open	—	04-29 20:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$386	209	209	+0	open	—	04-21 15:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$368	553	553	+0	open	—	05-01 08:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$354	301	301	+0	open	—	04-29 20:50
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	16	$302	210	210	+0	open	—	04-21 20:47
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$261	205	205	+0	open	—	06-27 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	14	$260	275	262	+13	open	—	04-30 14:35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$251	349	0	+349	open	—	04-16 17:00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$249	126	126	+0	No	+$0	04-24 14:07
James Comey arrested by April 30?	24	$242	440	440	+0	open	—	04-29 13:56
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	16	$237	538	538	+0	No	$-19	05-05 17:00
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	57	$215	433	463	-30	open	—	04-29 20:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$186	165	165	+0	open	—	04-30 21:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	31	$182	161	160	+1	open	—	04-21 20:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	12	$179	307	0	+307	open	—	04-15 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$174	204	204	+0	open	—	04-29 20:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	10	$171	390	390	+0	open	—	05-01 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	16	$171	175	141	+34	open	—	05-15 14:23
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	11	$135	74	73	+1	open	—	04-20 20:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	24	$131	137	136	+1	open	—	04-20 16:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$127	110	220	-110	open	—	05-01 08:32
James Comey arrested by April 29?	10	$127	440	353	+87	open	—	04-29 14:15
wti up or down on april 15 2026	8	$123	174	74	+100	open	—	04-15 13:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$113	72	72	+0	open	—	04-26 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 14:07:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb6f856…
06-27 13:57:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x104d85…
06-19 19:03:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x826b35…
06-19 09:46:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	63¢	$84	0x226a08…
06-19 09:40:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x38a022…
06-19 09:36:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8d4a88…
06-19 09:30:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9c05e8…
06-19 09:24:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x041d31…
06-19 09:07:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x08df5b…
06-19 09:07:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe96540…
06-14 21:26:28	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x78dc00…
05-30 15:37:20	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5c30e1…
05-30 15:05:20	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5ed9d8…
05-30 14:41:31	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x6f3429…
05-30 14:28:56	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d4b8f…
05-30 12:46:32	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xe4cdb0…
05-30 12:38:41	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x77ca4c…
05-28 14:27:48	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x949771…
05-28 13:28:35	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x4f5495…
05-15 14:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x199c57…
05-05 17:00:08	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	209	0¢	$0	0xbf4a63…
05-01 08:38:10	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x5294f5…
05-01 08:38:06	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x8f8e80…
05-01 08:37:54	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0x1d4e2e…
05-01 08:37:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	6¢	$13	0x27088c…
05-01 08:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	92	18¢	$17	0xe54e9b…
05-01 08:37:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x88b53d…
05-01 08:36:52	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x1e580b…
05-01 08:36:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	6¢	$23	0xc8ed59…
05-01 08:36:18	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	294	9¢	$25	0x749b40…
05-01 08:36:04	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x26b6a0…
05-01 08:35:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	440	8¢	$35	0x843374…
05-01 08:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	18¢	$40	0x301482…
05-01 08:33:26	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	712	4¢	$29	0x5c2a97…
05-01 08:32:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	37¢	$62	0xb9a3e0…
05-01 02:01:42	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0x3cbefe…
05-01 01:57:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	41¢	$20	0xe84ad2…
05-01 01:54:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x490193…
05-01 01:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	7¢	$15	0xfcf6b8…
05-01 01:11:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xb290b7…
05-01 01:02:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3d11f8…
05-01 00:59:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x7b24e5…
05-01 00:59:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x7b24e5…
05-01 00:58:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x3cee67…
04-30 22:27:50	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x149bbd…
04-30 21:30:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xfd8e10…
04-30 21:18:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	55	70¢	$38	0x4f8d76…
04-30 21:12:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xdcf332…
04-30 20:56:22	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0xdbe38b…
04-30 20:52:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	19¢	$42	0x5e9170…
04-30 20:03:42	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x73ad3a…
04-30 19:39:32	Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	205	11¢	$22	0x82848b…
04-30 19:33:34	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xbad808…
04-30 19:33:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0xa05d9d…
04-30 19:13:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	39¢	$43	0xa0ae61…
04-30 18:26:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf8e442…
04-30 18:22:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0xb23f1a…
04-30 18:22:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x959d3f…
04-30 18:21:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x88845b…
04-30 18:11:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xd3d20a…
04-30 17:34:26	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x7555a6…
04-30 17:15:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x6dd403…
04-30 17:08:38	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0x5fafe3…
04-30 17:01:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	220	20¢	$44	0xc4eb3b…
04-30 16:58:22	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x3a3d5e…
04-30 16:48:06	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd11e1c…
04-30 16:47:52	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	373	6¢	$22	0x97eeea…
04-30 16:32:54	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x7577ca…
04-30 15:51:04	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x663076…
04-30 15:49:20	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xd77e50…
04-30 14:35:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	46¢	$25	0x3f3149…
04-30 14:30:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	26¢	$15	0xa7fc3e…
04-30 13:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xb710d1…
04-30 13:55:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0xf56d01…
04-30 13:46:20	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$16	0x6dc92f…
04-30 13:46:20	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x6dc92f…
04-30 13:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0x79d8df…
04-30 13:37:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	44¢	$24	0xdd62a1…
04-30 13:37:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x09ce22…
04-30 13:36:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd03d44…
04-30 13:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	67	22¢	$15	0xed1bb2…
04-30 13:32:38	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xce1d12…
04-30 13:25:26	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x512b75…
04-30 13:22:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x61a9e7…
04-30 13:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0xeb9809…
04-30 13:13:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	48	77¢	$37	0xebb7d6…
04-30 13:13:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xebb7d6…
04-30 13:13:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x960e6b…
04-30 13:13:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7cc30c…
04-30 13:13:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x2c3e0c…
04-30 13:03:58	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x0c4e8a…
04-30 12:56:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	55	57¢	$31	0x51fa76…
04-30 12:37:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xcd721d…
04-30 12:21:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	43¢	$16	0xb805f2…
04-30 12:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$15	0xe3ddca…
04-30 12:06:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0x8e4cb0…
04-30 12:06:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x70b870…
04-30 12:06:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x5ec720…
04-30 12:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x229060…
04-30 12:05:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x536506…