Sociable-Pudding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

146

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-14 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

57% 52% +$32

Other

19% 28% -$137

Sports

18% 16% -$221

Crypto

6% 40% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-24	-$19	98¢	$-24	-$4	05-25 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$496	356	356	+0	No	-$4	05-27 09:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$426	326	220	+106	No	+$2	05-26 05:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$402	220	220	+0	No	+$32	06-23 11:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$206	112	112	+0	No	+$6	05-30 07:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$186	202	202	+0	No	+$26	06-01 07:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$186	672	278	+394	No	-$94	06-30 06:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$169	104	104	+0	Yes	-$1	03-03 14:18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$160	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-24 14:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$157	121	121	+0	Yes	+$17	06-03 15:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$149	76	100	-24	open	—	05-25 15:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$127	500	500	+0	No	+$47	05-19 19:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$100	147	147	+0	open	—	06-20 07:00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$89	2,364	1,979	+385	No	-$1	07-04 19:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$85	121	121	+0	Yes	+$5	05-29 11:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$85	298	298	+0	Yes	-$15	07-06 20:13
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$85	190	190	+0	No	-$75	07-14 20:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$78	52	52	+0	open	—	06-07 09:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	2	$74	43	43	+0	No	-$6	06-07 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$71	5,349	5,349	+0	No	+$7	05-30 11:49
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	3	$66	37	37	+0	Yes	+$6	06-26 20:24
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	2	$65	66	66	+0	Yes	-$15	07-07 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$64	57	57	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 16:19
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$61	68	68	+0	No	+$1	05-14 12:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$58	164	164	+0	Yes	-$42	06-14 22:09
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$58	38	38	+0	Yes	+$18	07-04 19:07
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$56	512	359	+154	No	-$44	07-07 17:53
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$50	1,359	200	+1,159	No	-$40	07-11 23:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	-$40	06-14 17:45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	05-21 12:41
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	2	$36	22	22	+0	No	-$4	03-06 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:35:05	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$5	0x359323…
07-12 11:26:19	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0x322b01…
07-11 23:18:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$5	0x49201d…
07-11 23:17:55	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x281c2f…
07-11 22:34:58	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7a3d02…
07-11 22:21:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x22a38a…
07-11 21:43:25	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	SELL	119	3¢	$4	0x7b54fe…
07-11 21:43:17	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0xe3afa4…
07-11 14:10:19	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x99ecec…
07-11 14:10:05	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9aa5b5…
07-11 14:09:08	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x9a7315…
07-11 14:06:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa4d282…
07-09 20:10:55	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x697e4f…
07-09 20:05:22	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf150f5…
07-08 13:21:55	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xfac7dd…
07-07 17:53:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x6117ec…
07-07 17:32:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	359	2¢	$6	0x50e50d…
07-07 17:08:52	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	66	38¢	$25	0x02f108…
07-06 20:13:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	298	12¢	$35	0x95af1d…
07-06 08:42:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x89ce5c…
07-05 20:58:05	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x6cd0d6…
07-05 20:58:02	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xfb5f0e…
07-05 20:01:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1542c0…
07-05 20:01:01	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0e8074…
07-04 19:07:23	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x625250…
07-04 19:02:23	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x1f656e…
07-04 18:28:44	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	61	23¢	$14	0x58dea0…
07-04 17:43:34	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x71422f…
07-04 17:22:05	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x7335d4…
07-04 17:21:17	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xf9c9c1…
07-04 17:21:05	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,667	2¢	$40	0x07b5bd…
07-04 16:49:50	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80a50f…
07-04 16:49:34	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd965a9…
07-04 16:48:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x713243…
07-01 17:37:50	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xae7810…
07-01 17:23:05	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3e0351…
07-01 17:22:31	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x298930…
06-30 06:18:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	141	28¢	$40	0xc17b83…
06-29 18:36:13	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x987e83…
06-29 12:32:01	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x0fbc85…
06-29 12:23:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x7a9473…
06-26 20:24:10	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xaa8d1a…
06-26 20:13:05	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf1d3c7…
06-26 19:07:17	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x439755…
06-25 21:45:14	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xbb1453…
06-25 20:22:20	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4577d6…
06-25 20:22:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xe06f76…
06-25 20:10:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0593e1…
06-25 20:10:40	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1a81a8…
06-24 20:09:59	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xcec28e…
06-24 19:52:20	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x80d437…
06-24 19:51:17	Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 1 Haiti?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa5d62c…
06-24 19:48:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	952	2¢	$20	0x74890e…
06-23 17:09:01	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0x30da16…
06-23 12:09:10	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x416d2c…
06-23 12:08:53	Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x7870e2…
06-23 12:07:41	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x135262…
06-23 11:58:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$217	0xf96455…
06-23 09:21:02	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x419a80…
06-22 19:11:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	253	20¢	$50	0xff6613…
06-22 05:27:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	172	7¢	$11	0x9acca1…
06-20 07:00:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	147	34¢	$50	0x2cb274…
06-17 20:13:31	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xad5ab1…
06-17 20:00:53	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa4a59c…
06-17 20:00:37	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdaaf67…
06-17 18:56:02	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$2	0x5d58b2…
06-17 18:15:13	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xb725fb…
06-17 18:13:40	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf34b7a…
06-17 18:12:49	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x40ce82…
06-16 21:15:29	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa2d8b6…
06-16 20:26:16	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0x72fb68…
06-16 20:25:35	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x288070…
06-16 20:12:23	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xcd5ea6…
06-16 18:55:28	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x94a158…
06-16 18:52:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9f9d48…
06-15 20:32:10	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0xbd2bc1…
06-15 18:54:34	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf8fc95…
06-15 18:53:19	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x382e5c…
06-14 22:09:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	5¢	$8	0x8d2d9f…
06-14 21:56:36	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe9f07c…
06-14 20:37:55	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x3e27d5…
06-14 20:04:48	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe54646…
06-14 20:04:34	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x457688…
06-14 20:04:07	Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x6c1675…
06-14 17:45:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xaf1b87…
06-14 17:44:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	278	16¢	$46	0x04ac77…
06-14 17:37:28	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7d5980…
06-12 18:39:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xdc48ca…
06-07 20:27:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	43	79¢	$34	0x7212bc…
06-07 19:06:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xaa3957…
06-07 09:17:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0x6abb73…
06-07 09:14:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x83d019…
06-04 07:03:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	76¢	$40	0xd28bd9…
06-04 07:02:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x3978db…
06-03 15:56:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	121	72¢	$87	0x73489d…
06-01 21:17:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x938cd6…
06-01 07:00:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x80c7fa…
05-30 20:56:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1788ef…
05-30 13:18:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x989b69…
05-30 11:49:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3,849	0¢	$15	0x85ca4b…