Outlying-Van — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

107 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.25K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-25 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

89% 100% +$450

Sports

10% 0% -$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	3	$571	1,020	0	+1,020	Yes	+$449	06-17 03:34
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$119	510	510	+0	No	-$1	04-22 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 08:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:41
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 08:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-24 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-17 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 06:22
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 08:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 09:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 08:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-17 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 08:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a0ee7…
08-25 08:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ce3c8…
08-25 08:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b0cbc…
07-24 10:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x9dcdd2…
07-24 10:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9fbef…
07-24 10:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x777183…
07-17 08:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25e24b…
07-17 08:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa26797…
07-17 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x567bda…
07-14 08:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf743c1…
07-14 08:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x446219…
07-14 08:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65072d…
07-02 08:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x212a09…
07-02 08:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45d169…
07-02 08:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc3f23…
06-17 03:34:55	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$14	0x48a750…
06-17 03:34:39	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	499	56¢	$279	0x732fbd…
06-17 03:34:24	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	497	56¢	$278	0x7a0b75…
06-08 03:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38e04e…
06-08 03:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd3481e…
06-08 03:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x598b02…
06-08 03:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80c4fd…
06-08 03:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xc66395…
05-29 03:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238f24…
05-29 03:25:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c170…
05-29 03:23:36	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb32c27…
05-29 03:21:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb3406…
05-26 02:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92f418…
05-26 02:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b5886…
05-26 02:56:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6741d1…
05-26 02:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95fa82…
05-26 02:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47e0ce…
05-26 02:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a9f89…
05-22 03:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f0bb1…
05-22 03:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x05fefe…
05-22 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x066fd6…
05-22 03:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x942bf5…
05-22 03:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xfe107e…
05-22 03:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc08e44…
05-22 03:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39d0cc…
05-22 02:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x732227…
05-22 02:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa88481…
05-22 02:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2fb61…
05-22 02:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7682e…
05-22 02:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee7f9b…
05-20 08:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa850b…
05-20 08:06:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43c2af…
05-20 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9ead3…
05-15 09:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf106fd…
05-15 09:11:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x82c94d…
05-15 09:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x38cd67…
05-15 09:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x903285…
05-15 09:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59885b…
05-15 09:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2b1ba5…
05-14 10:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x78d215…
05-14 10:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x94e2e9…
05-14 10:35:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe12616…
05-14 06:33:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae4ab8…
05-14 06:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xdb4b54…
05-14 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34ef35…
05-14 06:29:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8e3ce…
05-14 06:28:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35bb09…
05-14 06:26:53	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa24daa…
05-14 06:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cc187…
05-14 06:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3bb3bd…
05-14 06:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa52cba…
05-12 04:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0d88f9…
05-12 04:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x226807…
05-12 04:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc3fa1f…
05-12 04:03:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10d3b9…
05-12 04:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc23e29…
05-12 04:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad8e9b…
05-12 03:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9d35f…
05-12 03:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51a1e8…
05-12 03:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0c1f3…
05-12 03:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85538a…
05-12 03:52:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6f79e…
05-12 03:50:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2d321…
05-09 07:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03ce93…
05-09 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x38a689…
05-09 06:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2b5d2…
05-08 08:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54bf80…
05-08 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ce888…
05-08 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d25c0…
05-07 07:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957e7d…
05-07 07:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbed268…
05-07 07:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x780960…
04-30 06:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x980d09…
04-30 06:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8e922…
04-30 06:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa61335…
04-27 07:57:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd5e61…
04-27 07:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x428bc9…
04-27 07:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb85fc8…
04-22 02:22:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	43	12¢	$5	0xf15271…
04-22 02:20:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$4	0x5a0bcb…
04-22 02:20:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x195078…
04-22 02:20:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x0023e6…
04-22 02:20:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0xf063d3…
04-22 02:20:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0x078300…
04-22 02:20:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xe8cea9…