Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
43.5%
Resolved
356
Trades
492
lifetime
Volume
$1.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$40
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-29 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
50% 26% -$49
Other
27% 21% -$21
Crypto
11% 24% -$17
Sports
9% 31% +$13
Tech
3% 38% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$11 97¢ $-19 -$8 06-09 14:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $5 62¢ $9 +$4 06-16 13:30
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -9 -$12 75¢ $-7 +$5 08-29 19:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -18 -$4 10¢ $-2 +$2 06-14 17:32
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -34 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 06-15 17:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -19 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-15 12:58
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +6 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 06-16 13:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -31 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$4 06-09 23:50
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes -15 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 06-16 13:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 06-20 22:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 06-16 13:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -6 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-26 00:38