Dearest-Spice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

235

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$4.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$73

16 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-15 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Politics

50% 64% +$42

Other

44% 54% -$7

Crypto

4% 38% -$42

Sports

1% 29% -$12

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-15	-$13	96¢	$-14	-$1	06-09 16:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+13	$10	92¢	$12	+$2	07-13 12:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+500	$44	2¢	$11	-$32	05-09 18:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-15	-$6	38¢	$-6	+$0	05-02 18:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+7	$5	82¢	$5	+$0	07-20 08:17
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+110	$9	4¢	$5	-$5	06-04 14:40
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+125	$15	3¢	$4	-$11	05-10 06:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+70	$10	6¢	$4	-$6	05-07 06:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-22	-$7	14¢	$-3	+$4	05-10 05:34
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+13	$3	22¢	$3	$0	06-09 16:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-16	-$4	14¢	$-2	+$2	05-10 05:57
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	-10	-$3	16¢	$-2	+$1	05-07 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+20	$5	6¢	$1	-$3	05-26 05:42
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	+150	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	05-23 21:43
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes	+116	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	05-23 21:43
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	+18	-$4	0¢	$0	+$4	06-06 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$120	92	92	+0	Yes	+$60	04-07 23:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	7	$98	89	89	+0	No	+$9	04-06 07:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$90	54	54	+0	No	+$8	04-02 05:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$82	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	03-25 18:10
ethereum above 2000 on march 29	5	$82	87	59	+28	No	-$15	03-28 16:39
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$78	128	113	+16	No	-$6	03-14 16:56
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	5	$77	60	42	+18	No	+$5	03-20 11:15
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$76	44	44	+0	No	+$7	03-30 18:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$74	129	109	+20	No	+$2	05-26 06:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	9	$68	100	100	+0	No	+$23	05-06 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$63	65	61	+4	Yes	+$11	06-15 02:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$1	03-19 19:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	7	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	+$36	06-05 16:37
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	4	$56	183	183	+0	No	-$6	05-10 05:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$53	122	122	+0	No	+$6	05-10 05:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	5	$52	150	118	+32	No	+$16	05-29 06:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$48	51	51	+0	No	+$8	04-14 09:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$48	159	102	+57	No	+$7	06-25 13:20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$46	45	45	+0	Yes	+$6	04-15 13:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$44	112	62	+50	No	$0	05-05 05:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$44	500	0	+500	open	—	05-09 18:22
will tisza win at least 110 seats	3	$41	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	04-11 12:42
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	8	$41	165	80	+85	No	-$4	05-10 08:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$37	42	27	+15	Yes	-$2	04-13 18:56
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$37	60	30	+30	No	-$4	06-08 09:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$35	50	50	-0	No	+$6	05-18 15:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	03-22 17:31
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$35	33	33	+0	Yes	+$5	05-04 19:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 12:59
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	5	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$2	04-11 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 11:03:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x23c2c7…
10-14 15:04:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x892a54…
10-12 11:58:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xfc9130…
10-11 19:47:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x4664b5…
10-11 13:22:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd9a01e…
10-10 19:55:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe09d1a…
10-10 15:23:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5812c6…
10-08 18:16:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x213329…
10-08 18:11:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd34428…
10-08 14:21:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf07b1a…
10-08 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xbe7100…
10-07 17:25:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfb01f4…
10-07 14:13:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4df81e…
10-06 23:24:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb93aa4…
10-06 13:47:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x853ff0…
10-04 07:03:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1aa49a…
10-02 18:18:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xd2914d…
10-02 18:14:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x22173c…
10-02 13:21:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xbbd25e…
10-01 16:53:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x8ae811…
10-01 13:20:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x48fe58…
09-30 18:39:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xec62a2…
09-30 12:35:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x91690c…
09-30 12:35:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf3d85e…
09-29 17:55:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe57311…
09-28 18:33:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd99fec…
09-28 15:16:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8966c2…
09-28 13:31:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xba92c0…
09-28 05:28:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x678c98…
09-28 05:28:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x273212…
09-26 16:41:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x645144…
09-26 14:18:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xcc0cd7…
09-26 12:56:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf5c44c…
09-25 06:03:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x25fbb3…
09-24 05:24:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x0ac0df…
09-23 16:16:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9f5526…
09-23 16:11:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6bfea3…
09-23 12:33:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x413ebc…
09-23 12:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x0f93b3…
09-22 17:25:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7205de…
09-22 11:46:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x79ede0…
09-22 11:44:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x7f1319…
09-21 20:46:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x0b424b…
09-21 05:05:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa0f35d…
09-21 05:05:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x2e6791…
09-20 21:05:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd88ba3…
09-19 20:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x0a9b5d…
09-19 20:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe7fd9a…
09-19 14:42:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6c5e9d…
09-19 13:59:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x960f0f…
09-19 11:00:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xadbdca…
09-19 10:51:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x47251f…
09-19 10:46:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x166ccf…
09-19 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xaecba1…
09-19 06:16:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x736368…
09-19 03:11:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xfa65d1…
09-18 18:28:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x87724f…
09-18 12:25:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x237356…
09-17 19:09:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1c0f24…
08-17 06:07:21	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xc6dd4d…
08-16 18:21:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x89cc8a…
08-15 19:47:04	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x28fe3b…
08-12 04:02:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x44c1c6…
08-08 20:00:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x3a74fd…
08-08 16:06:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x077c1d…
08-08 15:56:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x8acb74…
08-08 09:46:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x88e72c…
08-07 23:41:12	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x41b4a9…
08-07 18:46:49	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xc581c4…
08-06 19:47:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa6c436…
08-04 17:42:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x1f4953…
08-02 18:53:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x616413…
08-01 20:22:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x3a6d56…
08-01 20:20:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x2418f7…
08-01 20:20:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb7e9ab…
07-29 09:12:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4e1a66…
07-28 17:11:59	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x8dff32…
07-25 18:00:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd45959…
07-25 06:08:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc0dd1a…
07-24 16:51:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa44dc2…
07-24 05:51:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x12b8fe…
07-24 05:51:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcbc4b9…
07-23 06:28:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb26408…
07-20 08:17:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x167ca4…
07-19 19:49:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x850cd2…
07-19 19:48:22	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xafb592…
07-19 19:48:04	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x769def…
07-19 15:54:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x96f1a3…
07-19 07:43:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x5d392e…
07-15 17:55:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdb3874…
07-14 16:58:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x181119…
07-13 18:39:46	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xad917d…
07-13 18:30:14	Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x788ff6…
07-13 12:12:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xeffff7…
07-11 21:08:29	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee59d6…
07-09 22:36:23	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0x3afdaf…
07-09 04:32:29	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xd36606…
07-07 11:13:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x535705…
07-07 11:13:34	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb2e04f…
07-07 11:13:17	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x132220…