Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
19.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,032
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$55
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-10 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
38% 20% $-5
Other
38% 33% $-10
Sports
13% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +15 $6 68¢ $10 +$4 05-29 21:08
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 06-05 14:07
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-08 12:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:39
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-08 01:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 62¢ $5 $-1 05-29 03:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-03 08:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +7 $4 64¢ $4 +$1 06-08 00:37
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 05-30 17:26
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +42 $1 $1 +$0 05-31 12:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:22