Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
19.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,295
lifetime
Volume
$18.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$37
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-02 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
39% 20% $-5
Other
38% 33% $-10
Sports
13% 0% $-1
Tech
8%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-16 17:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 +$0 06-24 17:59
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 04:11
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:45
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-3 76¢ $-3 $-0 07-01 10:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 15:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +27 $2 $0 $-2 06-21 20:33