Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
377
lifetime
Volume
$2.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$228
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-16 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
21%
Sports
19% 0% $-2
Crypto
9%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,003 $-90 $-75 +$15 06-27 09:23
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -200 $-8 14¢ $-28 $-20 06-27 09:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 06-27 09:14
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +18 $13 84¢ $16 +$2 06-27 10:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +19 $14 80¢ $15 +$1 06-27 10:26
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$1 06-30 06:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +16 $14 70¢ $11 $-3 06-27 09:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -200 $-15 $-11 +$4 06-27 09:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12 $11 86¢ $10 $-0 07-16 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +11 $6 99¢ $10 +$5 06-26 21:33
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 $-0 07-03 08:16
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -345 $-10 $-7 +$3 06-27 09:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -107 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-27 09:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-28 13:02