(anonymous) 0xa8d4e3…fe7b5a Create alert
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
9.8%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
7
557 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$78
$10.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$2.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-12 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
63% 12% -$25
Crypto
23% 0% -$2
Politics
7% 50% +$0
Sports
6% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +200 $176 93¢ $186 +$10 11-04 03:16
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +250 $195 69¢ $172 -$22 11-03 14:24
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? No +190 $147 77¢ $147 +$0 11-04 04:19
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +150 $147 98¢ $147 $0 11-03 13:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +200 $134 66¢ $133 -$2 11-04 05:50
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +120 $115 98¢ $118 +$2 11-03 17:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +150 $142 78¢ $117 -$24 11-03 16:52
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +101 $93 99¢ $100 +$7 11-04 05:19
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +100 $72 99¢ $99 +$27 11-03 18:32
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 11-03 09:47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $93 99¢ $99 +$6 11-02 20:15
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +100 $93 99¢ $99 +$6 11-02 19:21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 11-02 20:25
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +100 $82 90¢ $90 +$8 11-03 10:15
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 11-03 23:57
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +100 $87 90¢ $90 +$3 11-02 22:07
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +100 $82 89¢ $89 +$6 11-04 05:08
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $86 84¢ $84 -$2 11-03 18:34
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $84 84¢ $84 $0 11-03 11:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +150 $134 55¢ $83 -$51 11-04 03:34
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? No +100 $90 82¢ $82 -$8 11-03 00:34
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +250 $60 31¢ $78 +$18 11-03 14:24
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +100 $77 78¢ $78 +$0 11-04 00:00
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $82 75¢ $75 -$8 11-03 22:04
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +100 $68 74¢ $74 +$6 11-03 04:02
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 -$3 11-02 15:42
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +84 $79 83¢ $70 -$9 11-03 12:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +200 $68 34¢ $67 -$1 11-04 05:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $19 45¢ $67 +$48 11-04 03:41
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +92 $52 71¢ $65 +$14 11-02 15:30