Imaginative-Waterfront — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.4%

Resolved

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-17 05:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

35% 0% -$2

Other

30% 22% -$5

Sports

28% 23% -$8

Crypto

7% 45% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$1.6K	826	826	+0	No	-$1	03-18 09:24
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	4	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	-$1	03-20 00:16
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	539	539	+0	No	-$1	05-04 18:19
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.1K	538	538	+0	No	-$1	04-14 18:00
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$1.1K	536	536	+0	open	—	05-26 18:49
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	532	532	+0	No	-$1	04-30 14:04
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$1.1K	533	533	-0	open	—	05-10 23:19
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$1.1K	533	533	+0	open	—	07-06 16:29
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$930	467	467	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:05
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$908	455	455	-0	No	$0	05-26 16:49
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$684	345	345	+0	open	—	06-21 20:46
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$672	339	339	+0	open	—	07-10 01:39
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$652	327	327	-0	No	$0	06-10 06:16
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$642	322	322	+0	No	$0	04-04 02:22
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$622	313	313	+0	open	—	05-02 04:43
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$618	310	310	+0	No	$0	04-30 23:28
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$612	307	307	+0	No	$0	03-24 16:04
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$612	307	307	+0	No	$0	05-03 17:51
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$606	304	304	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:21
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$602	303	303	+0	No	$0	05-02 06:40
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$598	304	304	+0	No	$0	04-30 03:35
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$596	298	298	+0	No	$0	03-21 03:09
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$592	297	297	+0	No	$0	05-24 14:35
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$590	296	296	+0	No	$0	03-15 23:52
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$586	294	294	-0	No	$0	06-20 14:01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$586	295	295	+0	open	—	04-30 17:18
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$584	294	294	+0	open	—	05-11 19:09
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$582	293	293	+0	open	—	05-15 05:40
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$579	291	291	+0	No	-$1	04-12 11:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$578	290	290	+0	No	$0	03-15 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 05:12:19	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x01e034…
07-16 16:50:49	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x925b1f…
07-16 16:50:19	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x3306ef…
07-15 06:33:23	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf42897…
07-14 21:49:32	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x84f2c6…
07-14 16:06:14	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x1e5846…
07-14 05:20:46	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb8673b…
07-13 19:18:02	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe0f95d…
07-13 15:43:07	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x89a131…
07-13 05:26:23	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xfd52d6…
07-10 18:34:20	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x0598ef…
07-10 10:19:56	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xe603de…
07-10 01:39:14	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x2af2f6…
07-09 02:00:34	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x291961…
07-09 02:00:11	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb029e9…
07-08 22:46:52	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6c732a…
07-08 22:46:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x7fd0f7…
07-08 02:38:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x253d04…
07-06 16:29:41	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x659bfd…
07-06 09:06:44	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x67a0a2…
07-06 09:06:25	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x67f2aa…
07-06 07:28:07	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe5b5e3…
07-06 02:04:22	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x64368d…
07-05 14:17:11	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1d09aa…
07-05 14:16:52	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x23728f…
07-05 02:02:11	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf14473…
07-04 12:13:58	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xd75a15…
07-04 04:46:16	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4afa8e…
07-02 21:54:38	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcaa570…
07-02 11:01:07	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb8f6aa…
07-01 06:24:05	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5e980c…
06-28 12:40:31	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x1b8a6e…
06-27 17:45:55	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x6b7939…
06-27 17:45:31	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x707e96…
06-27 14:40:32	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x16fa7b…
06-23 15:16:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3734f2…
06-23 15:15:44	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa6d44a…
06-21 23:12:50	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcf8710…
06-21 20:46:20	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x387941…
06-21 13:57:20	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf7f975…
06-21 09:25:13	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xf3a492…
06-21 06:44:01	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x272e76…
06-21 02:51:38	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xabd205…
06-20 23:15:34	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xf38adb…
06-20 14:01:02	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x97351d…
06-15 00:05:22	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbac1e5…
06-14 21:56:03	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x961d72…
06-14 15:28:58	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x66a1ad…
06-12 03:49:07	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x9f8d6a…
06-11 05:17:34	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7346b2…
06-11 05:17:15	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xbeb3b6…
06-10 23:39:21	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x85015c…
06-10 06:16:34	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xda4487…
06-09 14:28:34	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9a1de3…
06-09 14:28:15	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xea9f6f…
06-08 20:18:10	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x109b56…
06-08 10:16:58	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x892177…
06-07 23:33:10	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x47f0ad…
06-07 10:46:22	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x290948…
06-06 17:56:33	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x067aee…
05-28 00:49:09	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$247	0x7340dd…
05-27 13:50:50	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x3e5fe5…
05-26 18:49:28	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	289	99¢	$287	0xdb18a9…
05-26 16:50:16	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	289	99¢	$287	0x99b265…
05-26 16:49:55	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x5d86ef…
05-26 12:38:00	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xf01674…
05-26 12:37:41	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	276	99¢	$274	0xcf2aec…
05-26 04:13:07	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	276	99¢	$274	0xf8ef78…
05-26 00:55:24	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x4e1b83…
05-25 19:24:39	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0x3f0091…
05-25 07:53:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0xea69af…
05-25 00:00:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xa67598…
05-24 14:35:06	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0xdd1b46…
05-24 07:36:32	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0x49537b…
05-23 17:14:02	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x2e8362…
05-23 13:23:57	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xcda686…
05-23 07:01:45	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xc592ea…
05-23 01:48:52	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xf7bc62…
05-23 01:48:31	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$283	0x176c84…
05-22 21:22:21	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	285	99¢	$283	0xd4d0ab…
05-22 21:22:02	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xb27efe…
05-22 16:10:58	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xcbcd26…
05-22 08:56:16	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x779558…
05-22 07:45:13	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x09e62a…
05-21 15:07:57	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0x75a37e…
05-21 08:11:50	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0xb8208d…
05-21 02:15:58	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x01a5a8…
05-21 00:18:50	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x5d5283…
05-20 17:02:39	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x67f141…
05-20 13:30:43	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x276100…
05-20 05:14:46	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	279	99¢	$277	0x041a12…
05-18 20:17:13	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	279	99¢	$277	0x052c3e…
05-18 09:35:26	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	247	99¢	$246	0x2fe649…
05-17 13:32:15	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0xdc14db…
05-17 05:06:40	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	277	99¢	$276	0x7ac661…
05-16 17:30:21	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x67e7f4…
05-16 17:30:03	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	285	100¢	$284	0x2a70c3…
05-16 13:31:23	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0xfd2ea1…
05-16 07:18:59	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	282	99¢	$280	0x6bb96b…
05-15 23:02:53	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0x7f4356…