Scratchy-Moose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

305

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$186

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 66% -$7

Other

28% 50% -$4

Tech

1% 83% +$0

Sports

1% 89% +$2

Politics

0% 50% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	+80	$80	100¢	$80	+$0	10-27 06:43
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-80	-$77	99¢	$-79	-$3	10-27 06:42
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$20	100¢	$-20	$0	05-05 03:27
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-2	-$2	99¢	$-2	$0	06-25 11:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+2	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	09-19 03:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	09-19 03:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	10-08 08:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-08 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	11	$609	306	306	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:58
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	8	$517	260	260	+0	No	$0	04-18 09:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	6	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-12 10:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	5	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-20 06:20
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	4	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	06-24 03:20
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$343	135	215	-80	open	—	10-27 06:42
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	6	$338	170	170	+0	No	$0	07-22 03:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	6	$279	140	140	+0	No	$0	08-14 03:46
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	4	$279	140	140	+0	No	$0	04-18 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$231	116	116	+0	No	$0	04-25 04:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	3	$212	106	106	+0	No	$0	03-21 03:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	9	$208	105	105	+0	No	$0	05-26 05:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	8	$204	103	103	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 02:44
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	3	$204	102	102	+0	No	$0	03-23 04:54
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:58
will solana reach 140 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-30 02:33
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-16 05:08
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-09 03:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$197	110	90	+20	No	+$0	05-28 07:27
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	4	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	06-17 03:42
will bnb reach 1100 in march	6	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	03-06 05:23
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	03-27 02:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	4	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-26 02:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	08-28 06:19
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-17 04:22
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-22 02:50
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-27 13:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-18 08:14
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-19 03:46
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-25 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:48:32	Will BNB reach $1,000 in October?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x60ee98…
10-27 06:48:09	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa283cb…
10-27 06:48:05	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff19c1…
10-27 06:43:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xfa2bb6…
10-27 06:42:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf70614…
10-27 06:42:00	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x477c7b…
10-23 03:26:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4a5025…
10-23 03:25:27	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc9ce52…
10-23 03:24:12	Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x7c6e13…
10-23 03:23:51	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x2bfd04…
10-21 05:34:39	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf4fff1…
10-21 05:32:29	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf4714c…
10-18 14:39:48	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x256467…
10-18 14:38:38	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x504daa…
10-18 14:37:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xec4a50…
10-18 14:36:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc52087…
10-18 14:36:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b563f…
10-18 14:35:18	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x053663…
10-18 14:35:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x24b792…
10-18 14:35:02	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x1b43b9…
10-15 07:58:46	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc0f4b…
10-15 07:58:37	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf3dab…
10-15 07:55:26	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x90208a…
10-15 07:54:56	xi meets with lee jae myung by october 310728193415618	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x322159…
10-15 07:54:44	will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a699c…
10-15 07:51:28	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb7f21…
10-15 07:14:01	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x335bd3…
10-13 04:44:35	Theo James announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae5183…
10-13 04:44:14	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x035e1f…
10-13 04:43:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6789d1…
10-13 04:43:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x57b914…
10-13 04:41:57	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x3b15fd…
10-13 04:41:30	Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa7e397…
10-13 04:41:20	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x03a62e…
10-13 04:41:09	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xd36062…
10-08 08:40:35	Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x41edab…
10-08 08:40:29	Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc21b35…
10-08 08:40:05	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x8557b1…
10-08 08:39:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xee5413…
10-08 08:39:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xddea81…
10-08 08:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5d8f9a…
10-08 08:38:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x506d85…
10-08 08:38:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0xb4357c…
10-06 04:44:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x292fa0…
10-06 04:44:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x881333…
09-29 05:57:30	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c71ef…
09-29 05:57:09	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b905a…
09-25 03:33:06	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x197ee4…
09-25 03:32:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc12919…
09-25 03:30:42	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x4a4a81…
09-23 04:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x42668b…
09-23 04:05:41	XRP Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x075cf7…
09-23 04:05:29	Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc619c8…
09-23 04:05:23	Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29f21e…
09-23 04:02:25	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xed16eb…
09-23 03:52:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x125f2a…
09-19 08:30:16	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 19?	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x09b954…
09-19 03:49:58	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5453ff…
09-19 03:49:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd15e7d…
09-19 03:49:03	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x47a123…
09-19 03:48:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5482a5…
09-19 03:47:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x74dec7…
09-19 03:47:00	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb46d1e…
09-19 03:46:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xddfd12…
09-19 03:46:18	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xd2efc1…
09-17 04:29:52	xrp up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x08b4dc…
09-17 04:29:28	ethereum up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x465b3e…
09-17 04:28:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf536ba…
09-17 04:28:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bb9b4…
09-17 04:26:40	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7071e8…
09-17 04:22:33	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x22da45…
09-17 04:22:22	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c2540…
09-17 04:22:09	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x492124…
09-15 03:08:18	xrp up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6c2cc7…
09-15 03:08:09	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x93fe15…
09-15 03:07:27	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a6d59…
09-15 03:07:21	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb51be…
09-15 03:06:55	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x97245e…
09-15 03:02:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x155665…
09-15 03:02:51	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x08e6f5…
09-11 03:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6368d1…
09-11 03:44:45	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6e8601…
09-11 03:44:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcac79a…
09-11 03:40:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbd113d…
09-11 03:38:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xb56c9c…
09-11 03:38:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x0787f7…
09-09 02:16:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7d1993…
09-09 02:15:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb5c11c…
09-09 02:11:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x604af0…
09-09 02:11:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2cf4a2…
09-09 02:11:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xbe577d…
09-07 10:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x929639…
09-07 10:25:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1664e…
09-07 10:24:30	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xdf8c38…
09-07 10:23:03	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb3cb3c…
09-07 10:22:54	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c3295…
09-04 05:16:55	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9dcf1…
09-04 05:15:00	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e4999…
09-04 05:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5dff65…
09-04 05:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf71331…