Scratchy-Moose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-22 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 83% $-0

Other

28% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	07-22 03:14
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	+2	$2	88¢	$2	$-0	06-11 03:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	07-22 03:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	38¢	$1	$-0	07-22 03:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	11	$609	306	306	+0	open	—	04-01 04:58
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	8	$517	260	260	+0	open	—	04-18 09:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	6	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 10:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	5	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 06:20
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	4	$379	190	190	+0	open	—	06-24 03:20
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	6	$338	170	170	+0	open	—	07-22 03:14
Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	4	$279	140	140	+0	open	—	04-18 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	04-25 04:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	3	$212	106	106	+0	open	—	03-21 03:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	9	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	05-26 05:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	8	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	04-23 02:44
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	3	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	03-23 04:54
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 04:58
will solana reach 140 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 02:33
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-16 05:08
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 03:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$197	110	90	+20	open	—	05-28 07:27
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	4	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	06-17 03:42
will bnb reach 1100 in march	6	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	03-06 05:23
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	03-27 02:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	4	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	06-26 02:41
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	06-27 13:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	06-18 08:14
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	06-25 11:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	07-04 06:09
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	4	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	04-14 04:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$161	106	56	+50	open	—	02-24 05:14
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	07-03 05:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 07:26
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-23 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 03:16:46	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfc6c42…
07-22 03:16:21	xrp up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2aaa84…
07-22 03:15:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb50466…
07-22 03:15:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe1ecb9…
07-22 03:15:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfb74cf…
07-22 03:14:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58f31e…
07-22 03:14:39	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x32a231…
07-22 03:14:16	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x31c182…
07-22 03:14:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdc4a58…
07-22 03:14:00	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x316c29…
07-22 03:13:54	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x28c4d5…
07-18 05:54:40	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x519055…
07-18 05:53:54	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d7d05…
07-18 05:53:31	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7077e9…
07-18 05:52:39	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf3487c…
07-17 02:25:15	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x589306…
07-16 05:55:14	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x902d95…
07-16 05:54:46	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0fd38e…
07-16 05:53:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x509726…
07-10 05:31:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0ac13a…
07-10 05:29:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa17ce0…
07-09 11:54:31	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xbe2186…
07-08 05:46:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x059438…
07-04 06:09:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x1179d7…
07-03 05:50:26	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3a6816…
07-03 05:49:53	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe14692…
07-03 05:49:37	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x71c4ab…
07-01 05:33:31	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xeb8b2c…
07-01 05:32:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x52d57d…
07-01 05:30:05	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x92ede5…
07-01 05:29:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6c0025…
07-01 05:29:35	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3546e9…
06-27 13:19:52	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc50620…
06-27 13:18:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x2051dc…
06-26 02:45:05	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd7374c…
06-26 02:44:53	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78ae0c…
06-26 02:44:41	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19f5de…
06-26 02:44:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5178c…
06-26 02:43:56	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbe125c…
06-26 02:41:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x26f21c…
06-25 13:53:17	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4aabc5…
06-25 12:27:20	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x1df5c4…
06-25 11:49:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xed3c86…
06-25 11:48:56	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd91257…
06-25 11:48:46	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe833ed…
06-24 03:24:55	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x142ea9…
06-24 03:22:10	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7f7d52…
06-24 03:21:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x71a474…
06-24 03:21:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5a3ead…
06-24 03:21:05	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe636e6…
06-24 03:20:55	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xd560a3…
06-24 03:20:47	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x99c3f9…
06-24 03:20:38	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0b4f85…
06-19 03:52:19	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7e878…
06-19 03:52:05	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62d23d…
06-19 03:51:23	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x63001f…
06-19 03:50:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11e942…
06-19 03:50:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9cc3e3…
06-19 03:49:40	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x85296e…
06-18 08:14:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xd22716…
06-17 03:46:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x28f3f0…
06-17 03:43:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x908874…
06-17 03:43:10	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc37ab…
06-17 03:42:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c6f45…
06-17 03:42:39	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5ce684…
06-13 05:04:25	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedb282…
06-13 05:04:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2907dc…
06-13 05:03:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c2c77…
06-13 05:02:49	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc4a84e…
06-13 05:02:24	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3fad1e…
06-13 05:02:13	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10d0f0…
06-13 05:02:01	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa86e8a…
06-12 10:52:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0cde61…
06-11 03:38:34	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa7ce0d…
06-11 03:38:25	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x837d3d…
06-11 03:38:10	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76f70c…
06-11 03:37:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb0501e…
06-11 03:37:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf07858…
06-10 07:15:04	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x9891ed…
06-10 07:14:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb09ccc…
06-09 04:28:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7fe1a7…
06-09 04:28:04	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55ca0a…
06-09 04:27:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x91d118…
06-09 04:27:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xca8422…
06-05 04:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x19c545…
06-05 04:20:49	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a3ba8…
06-05 04:20:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb5c56d…
06-05 04:19:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc43f7a…
06-05 04:19:39	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x15da8f…
06-04 11:21:18	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7a4976…
06-03 05:27:00	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cdf2d…
06-03 05:25:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fe949…
06-03 05:25:20	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1b7c3c…
05-30 05:28:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc04d7b…
05-30 05:27:43	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47a4c6…
05-30 05:27:26	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa59fa4…
05-30 05:27:10	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44bcac…
05-30 05:26:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xefe0bc…
05-30 05:26:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4defc1…
05-28 07:27:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb846e7…