Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$451
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-11 15:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53%
Politics
47% 0% $-50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +118 $100 84¢ $100 +$0 06-03 12:01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +65 $60 90¢ $58 $-2 06-11 15:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +57 $50 88¢ $51 +$1 06-03 11:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 $-0 05-31 23:53
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +55 $50 90¢ $49 $-1 06-03 11:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 06-03 13:50
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +47 $40 84¢ $39 $-1 06-06 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +49 $40 80¢ $39 $-1 06-03 11:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $25 82¢ $25 $-0 06-01 15:56