Prudent-Tackle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

57 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.29K lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-16 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

57% 64% -$101

Other

43% 71% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$197	118	118	+0	open	—	07-16 11:10
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	2	$123	67	67	+0	open	—	06-11 15:27
us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	2	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	05-31 23:49
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	2	$102	57	57	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	3	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$2	06-02 14:46
will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	06-20 03:54
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-31 23:50
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	06-02 14:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$101	54	54	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-15 12:31
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	2	$98	55	55	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	3	$90	54	54	+0	No	+$1	07-16 11:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$90	47	47	+0	No	$0	05-03 13:11
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	2	$82	47	47	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$80	49	49	+0	No	$0	06-17 12:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$78	66	66	+0	No	-$22	06-17 12:33
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	1	$60	65	0	+65	No	+$5	06-11 15:32
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	05-03 12:24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	06-02 14:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	76	0	+76	Yes	-$50	05-03 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	05-03 12:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	05-03 12:00
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	55	0	+55	Yes	-$50	05-03 12:50
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	06-03 12:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	07-16 11:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	06-03 13:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-31 23:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	07-16 11:10
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$1	35	0	+35	No	-$1	05-03 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 11:11:44	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	69	85¢	$59	0xcdc97c…
07-16 11:11:35	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0xbfae21…
07-16 11:11:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0xe0b926…
07-16 11:11:22	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x58b293…
07-16 11:11:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	54	84¢	$45	0xbe3e6c…
07-16 11:11:08	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0xd71e13…
07-16 11:11:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x5602e2…
07-16 11:10:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x0d2d62…
07-16 11:10:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	118	82¢	$97	0x3989a6…
06-20 03:54:19	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x3ae476…
06-17 12:33:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	66	43¢	$28	0x987075…
06-17 12:32:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	49	81¢	$40	0xb6742b…
06-11 15:32:04	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x13ca1f…
06-11 15:27:45	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x5fd42c…
06-06 15:07:19	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xe7c686…
06-03 13:50:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xd87c0a…
06-03 12:12:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3091b4…
06-03 12:03:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x6a5e0d…
06-03 12:01:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xdf2c24…
06-03 11:50:38	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd9d608…
06-03 11:43:36	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x869860…
06-03 11:39:15	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x220f95…
06-03 11:38:05	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x9f01da…
06-03 11:36:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xd63e79…
06-02 14:49:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x9a77c2…
06-02 14:46:12	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xb6e607…
06-02 14:45:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x726869…
06-02 14:37:34	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xd995dc…
06-01 15:57:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xc2a990…
06-01 15:56:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xecea21…
05-31 23:56:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x7b4a58…
05-31 23:53:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x70533e…
05-31 23:50:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x72dbdc…
05-31 23:50:00	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x75fbf9…
05-31 23:49:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x1798a2…
05-17 14:05:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f4a78…
05-15 12:32:30	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xbc91b6…
05-15 12:31:50	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xb29bea…
05-03 13:43:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x26ccc9…
05-03 13:11:38	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb7f540…
05-03 13:11:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x94ac9d…
05-03 12:50:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x874eb7…
05-03 12:45:50	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x25a1a4…
05-03 12:24:38	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2a719c…
05-03 12:20:32	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x00d559…
05-03 12:07:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x801357…
05-03 12:07:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0xdc0d57…
05-03 12:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xf207b4…
05-03 12:04:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	56	81¢	$45	0x91b2d7…
05-03 12:02:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x619d6f…
05-03 12:01:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x2baa26…
05-03 12:00:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x92ac98…
05-03 11:44:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xab62a7…
05-03 11:43:44	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x302a1b…
05-03 11:41:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d3eb6…
05-03 11:37:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc87650…
05-03 11:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe60427…