Watery-Armrest 0xaf95eb…dad975
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Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
662
lifetime
Volume
$4.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$53
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-30 07:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
29% 0% $-4
Politics
28% — —
Other
23% 0% $-3
Crypto
18% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 05-28 13:32
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -10 $-7 70¢ $-7 $-0 07-01 03:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-6 64¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 03:39
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -10 $-6 57¢ $-6 +$0 07-01 03:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 05-29 20:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes -10 $-3 32¢ $-3 $-0 07-01 03:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-2 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-16 17:26
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +3 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-12 23:51
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-29 22:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 17:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 03:33
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 03:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 16:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-29 22:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +36 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 05-31 12:25