Suburban-Supreme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$168

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

969

lifetime

Volume

$7.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-11 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

56% 86% +$44

Politics

38% 100% +$124

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$0	07-11 12:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	+20	$17	88¢	$18	+$0	06-27 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+17	$10	68¢	$12	+$2	05-28 21:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$6	36¢	$5	$-1	06-26 04:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	06-11 22:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	23	$324	346	546	-200	open	—	03-31 10:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	10	$221	166	120	+46	open	—	03-22 10:55
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 2, 2026?	6	$165	150	250	-100	open	—	04-05 13:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	12	$164	165	165	+0	open	—	03-21 20:52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	3	$144	130	20	+110	open	—	05-30 18:19
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 1, 2026?	3	$141	155	155	+0	open	—	04-01 13:34
lol th shft 2026 01 18	11	$136	70	80	-10	open	—	01-18 17:11
will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	4	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 14:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$98	34	64	-30	open	—	01-31 17:41
zelenskyy of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 80 99	3	$94	55	55	+0	open	—	04-07 14:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	8	$84	94	94	+0	open	—	03-21 19:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	22	$82	80	41	+39	open	—	04-01 21:59
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	6	$77	53	53	+0	open	—	03-14 04:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	9	$76	200	0	+200	Yes	+$124	04-03 19:14
will bully ye debut week album sales be less than 150k	3	$72	55	55	+0	open	—	04-02 20:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 60 79	6	$65	55	54	+1	open	—	04-05 13:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	2	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	04-02 20:49
lol mkoi sk 2026 04 11 game2	5	$62	60	30	+30	open	—	04-11 18:38
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	01-12 22:24
will trump say islamic revolutionary guard or iranian revolutionary guard this week march 15	1	$52	55	0	+55	open	—	03-15 14:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	04-02 19:55
will trump say regime change this week march 15	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	03-15 13:48
will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	07-11 12:15
will vance say epic fury during his rocky mount visit	7	$48	110	110	+0	open	—	03-13 18:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 22:21
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	5	$45	80	0	+80	open	—	05-24 11:08
lol mkoi kc 2026 01 18	7	$44	50	22	+28	open	—	01-18 21:40
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 15c	6	$43	67	67	+0	open	—	04-06 10:22
lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	10	$41	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 15:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$41	52	0	+52	open	—	03-12 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 12:15:07	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7e2c42…
07-11 12:13:50	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf12094…
07-11 12:13:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf13cbe…
06-27 16:38:50	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd22c9a…
06-27 16:36:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9eb459…
06-27 16:36:07	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb0bfb8…
06-26 04:17:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x04db5d…
06-22 22:34:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1b00e3…
06-11 22:44:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5bac5c…
06-06 15:37:30	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3355f4…
06-06 15:37:25	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x59140e…
06-06 15:14:39	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x0f2288…
06-06 15:13:51	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x48366a…
06-06 15:01:58	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xce33f6…
06-06 15:01:43	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfcbb5d…
06-06 15:01:39	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x29a164…
06-06 15:01:33	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x728f1a…
06-05 16:02:43	lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x89917a…
06-03 09:23:20	Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x88bcdd…
06-03 07:36:39	Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1c91cc…
06-03 07:33:33	will starmer say apologize during the next prime ministers questions event 20260602155554500	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1a0326…
06-01 21:45:55	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x73064b…
05-31 23:51:02	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x80ec71…
05-31 07:23:37	Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf92694…
05-30 18:19:55	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5a4283…
05-30 17:31:51	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd6ad88…
05-29 10:22:38	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x75ee81…
05-28 21:44:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0cce75…
05-28 14:33:59	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8ff0a0…
05-28 14:33:55	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x5eca82…
05-28 14:32:26	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xd7c693…
05-27 21:59:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb26d40…
05-27 05:05:16	Will Vance say "Long Blue Line" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xde1ae8…
05-26 21:56:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x35ea4f…
05-24 23:33:19	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x816391…
05-24 22:00:13	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x984e69…
05-24 11:08:29	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xcf0a55…
05-23 22:00:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x508907…
05-23 21:56:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc157b8…
05-23 01:48:10	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x70531d…
05-20 21:56:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa97a6f…
05-19 21:55:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x376bc7…
05-19 21:55:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcd10ce…
05-17 18:07:49	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xaf3a4a…
05-16 15:23:25	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x62e439…
05-16 15:23:21	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc53618…
05-16 15:23:21	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4e7684…
05-16 15:23:21	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x40b172…
05-16 09:20:56	LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x773257…
05-15 23:20:30	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb579c0…
05-13 09:46:12	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0xb3b870…
05-13 08:49:02	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x359d00…
05-12 18:56:26	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1ee1e7…
05-12 16:18:07	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x7730a7…
05-11 21:57:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f1c0e…
05-10 22:42:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x087d22…
05-09 17:35:34	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x7ec59d…
05-09 17:34:31	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdec405…
05-09 08:46:17	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc1820a…
05-09 08:45:35	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x45c794…
05-08 18:39:10	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x399088…
05-08 16:15:48	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xe4fb79…
05-08 15:43:10	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb0f9b3…
05-08 15:31:58	LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x111e49…
05-08 15:23:13	LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xfa5f83…
05-08 15:19:42	LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3bdcba…
05-08 15:07:07	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x870913…
05-08 15:04:54	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4d9bf3…
05-04 18:56:26	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde655c…
05-04 18:13:16	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xface1e…
05-04 17:59:56	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9f6633…
05-04 17:59:10	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf663ed…
05-03 19:28:14	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x29ee8a…
05-03 15:17:52	Will Bernie Sanders say "Legislation" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xdf56dd…
05-03 14:50:32	Will Bernie Sanders say "Working Family" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xe5cd8e…
05-03 14:49:52	Will Bernie Sanders say "Working Family" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb9b700…
05-03 13:19:30	Will Bernie Sanders say "Working Family" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x75c395…
05-03 13:19:12	Will Bernie Sanders say "Legislation" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf809ec…
05-03 10:44:10	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xcf61d0…
05-03 05:39:16	Will Bernie Sanders say "Tuition" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x5eba86…
05-03 03:34:36	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x62bf4c…
05-03 00:58:14	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xdff118…
05-03 00:06:08	Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x49aab5…
05-03 00:05:30	Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x11c331…
05-02 23:57:12	Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x4a909d…
05-02 23:35:44	Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4f1ebf…
05-02 23:25:32	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xac96f7…
05-02 22:34:06	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xadeb89…
05-02 22:23:16	Will Bernie Sanders say "King" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x180d5a…
05-02 22:02:32	Will Bernie Sanders say "Legislation" in Michigan?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcce255…
05-02 18:43:06	LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xff8029…
05-02 17:11:48	LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5c6bab…
05-02 16:30:28	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Heretics	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xeb277c…
04-29 11:11:08	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1fb0e6…
04-28 21:43:30	Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0x3ccb85…
04-28 21:43:20	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xebd057…
04-28 21:43:04	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdfe721…
04-28 21:36:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e6ec8…
04-26 07:36:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9138b9…
04-24 21:57:18	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3ef898…