Wordy-Penguin — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$61

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved (30d)

4,128

Trades (30d)

5,290

5,502 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$44.1K

$48.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$137

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 75% +$93

Other

6% 57% +$13

Politics

5% 69% +$105

Sports

1% 40% -$7

Tech

0% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-60	-$42	100¢	$-60	-$18	06-09 16:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-31	-$30	94¢	$-29	+$1	06-17 12:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-30	-$24	92¢	$-28	-$3	05-26 10:55
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	-30	-$22	59¢	$-18	+$4	06-17 12:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-77	$42	3¢	$-2	-$44	10-01 07:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$566	352	352	+0	open	—	10-04 15:55
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	3	$403	224	224	+0	open	—	10-16 06:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$376	260	260	+0	No	+$124	06-21 08:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	2	$219	112	112	+0	No	+$5	09-28 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	07-05 16:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$198	107	107	+0	Yes	+$16	09-16 21:09
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	2	$195	99	99	+0	Yes	+$3	07-18 12:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$186	189	115	+74	No	+$13	04-21 20:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$143	105	105	+0	Yes	+$19	04-06 19:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$107	57	57	+0	No	+$7	08-18 20:29
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	3	$101	86	86	+0	No	+$41	08-16 16:46
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$100	57	57	+0	open	—	08-28 14:34
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$76	48	48	+0	No	-$2	05-27 10:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$75	68	68	+0	open	—	10-04 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$73	61	39	+23	No	+$8	05-31 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$70	25	56	-31	open	—	06-17 12:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$67	283	360	-77	open	—	10-01 07:45
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	2	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$5	02-01 09:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$5	04-28 17:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$64	42	42	+0	No	+$14	04-08 05:45
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$64	34	34	+0	No	+$4	02-01 09:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	2	$63	56	56	+0	open	—	10-04 15:55
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$2	04-18 15:33
Trump kiss by May 31?	3	$61	70	48	+22	Yes	-$29	05-20 14:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$57	34	34	+0	No	+$7	06-17 12:21
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$55	42	42	+0	No	+$17	06-21 08:11
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	3	$54	55	24	+31	Yes	-$12	02-04 17:47
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$2	02-13 07:10
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	2	$49	51	0	+51	No	+$1	08-28 15:01
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$7	03-29 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb7fd72…
10-28 05:45:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2262d…
10-28 05:36:25	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63fc59…
10-28 05:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6a004e…
10-28 05:13:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xc9bb80…
10-28 05:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0598c5…
10-28 05:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1948da…
10-28 04:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb0aff0…
10-28 04:59:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6c3b48…
10-28 04:44:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdae879…
10-28 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc2dcc0…
10-28 04:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fc897…
10-28 04:44:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e7d04…
10-28 04:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x54afa2…
10-28 04:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb4d4b9…
10-28 04:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xb5b912…
10-28 04:19:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x37269b…
10-28 04:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xed7db7…
10-28 04:12:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd87407…
10-28 04:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfb2904…
10-28 03:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a6a7c…
10-28 03:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c2969…
10-28 03:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f746c…
10-28 03:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b0b3a…
10-28 03:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x39fae8…
10-28 03:04:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x926b35…
10-28 03:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a6e87…
10-28 02:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa468ec…
10-28 02:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb71a59…
10-28 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc27b1d…
10-28 02:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x609feb…
10-28 02:42:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa11dae…
10-28 02:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86da6e…
10-28 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1e432c…
10-28 01:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe3a0bb…
10-28 01:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8b351…
10-28 01:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x16a528…
10-28 01:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd44a0e…
10-28 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf9e7b6…
10-28 00:54:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42e897…
10-28 00:45:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe669dc…
10-28 00:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa2aea…
10-28 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x28fd1a…
10-28 00:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b12a…
10-27 23:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d8722…
10-27 23:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6aa2da…
10-27 23:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x059454…
10-27 23:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x188970…
10-27 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa81d9a…
10-27 23:19:51	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff8325…
10-27 23:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf4b84f…
10-27 23:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x61b599…
10-27 23:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xcc2eb6…
10-27 22:54:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ddbf3…
10-27 22:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x595276…
10-27 22:44:44	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d1243…
10-27 22:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb9a36…
10-27 22:29:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc15e9d…
10-27 22:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1ec8fd…
10-27 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbc522…
10-27 21:54:39	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x92a96c…
10-27 21:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd3ce1f…
10-27 21:44:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xace86d…
10-27 21:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x319086…
10-27 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8bf06d…
10-27 21:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x323c92…
10-27 21:25:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf29dfe…
10-27 21:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb28f5c…
10-27 20:40:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0375e0…
10-27 20:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b1cf7…
10-27 20:29:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf199d0…
10-27 20:09:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebb6e4…
10-27 20:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb8efff…
10-27 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x218a29…
10-27 19:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1327c9…
10-27 19:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaedc9b…
10-27 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x29c8cc…
10-27 18:57:17	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x668072…
10-27 18:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xafbcc2…
10-27 18:51:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbbd00…
10-27 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x82182b…
10-27 18:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbbe0a5…
10-27 18:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbf6d76…
10-27 18:09:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc44d97…
10-27 17:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x52c2c8…
10-27 17:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc0c113…
10-27 17:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x409301…
10-27 17:41:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9ceee1…
10-27 17:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2f1c2d…
10-27 17:24:35	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdf2961…
10-27 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x55eccf…
10-27 16:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad2669…
10-27 16:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x049afc…
10-27 16:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x97e471…
10-27 16:34:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb581b0…
10-27 16:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xea7065…
10-27 16:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf57cf7…
10-27 16:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc46aeb…
10-27 16:18:44	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb7d968…
10-27 15:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x05fbf8…