Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
454
lifetime
Volume
$378
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$44
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 07-03 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 0% $-0
Other
31% 0% $-2
Politics
21% 0% $-1
Sports
8%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -31 $-20 60¢ $-19 +$1 06-27 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-0 06-09 17:44
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-28 03:41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -2 $-1 78¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 22:09
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-30 00:55
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-03 03:10
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-23 00:00
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 $-0 06-30 15:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-27 20:09
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-23 02:20
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-01 14:18
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-28 13:22
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +2 $1 69¢ $1 $-0 06-27 17:11
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:49
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:22
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-14 21:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $0 $-0 07-02 10:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-03 02:37
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 +$0 07-02 17:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-02 09:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 07-02 08:35
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -0 $0 86¢ $-0 $-0 06-28 04:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 $-0 07-03 01:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 23:22