Polite-Wood 0xb58c2f…f56900
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
108
lifetime
Volume
$675
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$170
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
60% 71% +$8
Politics
38% 92% +$5
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +255 $102 34¢ $88 -$14 07-11 08:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -43 -$40 94¢ $-40 $0 09-25 05:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 07-23 08:11
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 10-26 10:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 09-20 19:56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 09-12 08:15
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No -22 -$6 11¢ $-2 +$3 10-10 07:18
EU dissolves before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-26 10:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 41¢ $1 +$0 08-31 12:24
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-15 15:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-05 09:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-26 10:46
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 10-26 10:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +1 $1 44¢ $0 -$1 08-05 09:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 07-02 06:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 -$1 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-22 18:10