Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
178
lifetime
Volume
$276
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-02 03:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-1
Politics
35% 67% $-1
Sports
15%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 07-01 07:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 06-04 05:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-02 05:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-03 04:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-01 08:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-04 14:56
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-04 14:53
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-01 08:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 07-01 08:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-02 03:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-25 06:42
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 07-01 08:03
Will Alberta join the US? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-09 08:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-01 07:58
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-28 08:46
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 05-28 03:13