Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
165
lifetime
Volume
$259
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 08:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-1
Politics
35% 67% $-1
Sports
15%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 06-04 05:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-03 04:11
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-04 05:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-04 14:56
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 06-04 14:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-02 05:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-03 04:15
Will Alberta join the US? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-09 08:48
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 05-28 03:13
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:50
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:50
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:51
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-02 05:09
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-28 08:46
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-04 14:55