Realized P&L (30d)
+$156
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
46
621 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.29K
$46.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$8.84K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
75% 76% +$825
Crypto
12% 43% +$1,463
Politics
10% 80% +$90
Sports
1% 0% -$86
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,570 $2,452 98¢ $2.5K +$76 10-29 17:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,380 $1,240 98¢ $1.4K +$112 10-29 17:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $994 99¢ $994 $0 11-07 03:03
US defaults on debt by 2027? No +1,000 $967 99¢ $986 +$19 09-08 02:55
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -990 -$999 99¢ $-977 +$23 10-31 21:04
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +668 $595 97¢ $651 +$55 09-18 06:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -480 -$187 98¢ $-472 -$284 05-20 16:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +444 $420 98¢ $433 +$13 10-31 09:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +230 $216 99¢ $227 +$12 10-19 01:28
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No +110 $106 98¢ $107 +$2 10-27 06:19
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -100 -$65 96¢ $-95 -$30 05-20 09:03
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +16 $16 98¢ $16 +$0 10-13 20:27