Realized P&L
+$2.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
226
Trades
618
lifetime
Volume
$45.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$7.82K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 14:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
74% 76% +$825
Crypto
13% 44% +$1,553
Politics
11% 80% +$90
Sports
1% 0% -$86
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,570 $2,452 98¢ $2.5K +$79 10-29 17:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,380 $1,240 97¢ $1.3K +$95 10-29 17:17
US defaults on debt by 2027? No +1,000 $967 99¢ $986 +$19 09-08 02:55
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -990 -$999 99¢ $-976 +$23 10-31 21:04
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +668 $595 97¢ $650 +$55 09-18 06:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -480 -$187 97¢ $-467 -$280 05-20 16:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +444 $420 97¢ $431 +$10 10-31 09:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +230 $216 98¢ $225 +$9 10-19 01:28
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No — +110 $106 98¢ $107 +$2 10-27 06:19
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -100 -$65 94¢ $-94 -$29 05-20 09:03
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +16 $16 98¢ $16 +$0 10-13 20:27