Required-Rocker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$114

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4,805 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.21K

$111.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$840

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Politics

55% 60% +$2,541

Other

33% 60% +$1,794

Sports

9% 61% +$171

Crypto

3% 70% +$180

Tech

0% 88% +$97

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+120	$70	95¢	$114	+$44	06-19 16:57
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$94	98¢	$-98	-$4	06-02 23:07
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	+100	$94	97¢	$97	+$4	08-27 01:50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$91	97¢	$-97	-$6	06-03 11:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+90	$30	90¢	$81	+$52	06-03 03:33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$79	80¢	$-80	-$2	06-02 23:06
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+70	$51	81¢	$57	+$6	05-04 08:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+60	$29	94¢	$56	+$27	06-03 03:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$30	96¢	$48	+$18	06-03 03:43
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$44	94¢	$-47	-$4	06-02 23:06
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-40	-$34	92¢	$-37	-$2	06-02 23:06
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	+18	$16	98¢	$17	+$2	10-05 20:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+115	$21	5¢	$6	-$16	06-19 22:53
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	+3	$2	97¢	$3	+$1	05-15 21:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+49	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	06-19 02:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	24	$2.2K	1,344	1,344	+0	Yes	+$56	05-13 05:41
will trump say hiroshima or nagasaki during events with japanese pm	15	$2.1K	1,058	1,058	+0	No	+$21	03-20 00:53
will hillary say president 5 times during her epstein testimony	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,005	-5	No	+$19	03-03 20:07
will trump say kamikaze during events with japanese pm	8	$1.8K	885	885	+0	No	+$7	03-20 00:53
will leavitt say state of the union during the next white house press briefing	30	$1.7K	7,427	7,369	+58	No	+$152	03-04 20:30
will trump say good looking during womens history month event	22	$1.2K	1,292	0	+1,292	No	+$95	03-13 01:50
will trump say biden during womens history month event	13	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	No	+$41	03-13 02:20
will trumps remarks not air 331 763	8	$972	500	500	+0	No	+$23	03-06 21:26
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	72	$923	1,643	932	+711	No	-$97	05-24 20:58
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	4	$904	977	0	+977	No	+$73	06-29 04:35
will trump say ice or national guard during the announcement on thursday	21	$858	917	182	+735	No	+$91	01-30 00:36
will trump say drone during meetings with chancellor merz	13	$835	800	69	+731	No	+$34	03-04 00:59
will trumps remarks not air 625	22	$822	1,602	100	+1,502	Yes	+$67	04-01 23:12
will trump say tanker or ship or boat 5 times during events with japanese pm	10	$802	405	405	+0	No	+$7	03-20 07:01
will trump say kharg island during events with japanese pm	7	$796	400	400	+0	No	+$3	03-20 04:25
will melania say future during ai talk on friday	5	$772	423	423	+0	No	+$39	01-16 22:12
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	25	$740	837	307	+530	No	+$37	09-01 08:17
will hillary say plane during her epstein testimony	9	$737	391	403	-12	No	+$49	03-05 14:11
will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	18	$735	512	331	+182	No	+$88	03-25 00:39
will trump say insurance during healthcare event	8	$717	439	290	+149	No	+$11	04-23 23:55
Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?	2	$690	700	0	+700	No	+$10	05-20 18:55
will trump say b 2 during trophy presentation	7	$681	444	273	+171	No	+$33	03-20 16:26
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$680	400	400	+0	No	+$0	06-14 05:39
will sayf win sanremo 2026	35	$666	753	377	+376	No	+$1	03-01 01:13
will trump say stock market during events with japanese pm	11	$665	420	369	+51	No	+$28	03-20 03:22
will hillary say island during her epstein testimony	11	$664	301	401	-100	No	+$26	03-05 00:18
will tommaso paradiso win sanremo 2026	35	$647	634	631	+3	No	-$9	02-28 20:55
will trump say decimate or decimated during events with japanese pm	8	$632	322	322	+0	No	+$10	03-20 04:04
will trump say deport or deportation during honduran president events	2	$627	700	0	+700	No	+$73	02-07 23:02
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	8	$625	350	350	+0	No	+$7	06-01 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:01:39	Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xac723d…
10-26 16:13:08	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	155	93¢	$144	0x472804…
10-26 12:22:54	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x5039a9…
10-25 23:08:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x747d4c…
10-25 21:27:14	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	191	93¢	$178	0xf8b6fb…
10-25 21:07:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?	No	BUY	289	91¢	$263	0x6026a7…
10-25 20:41:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xb45027…
10-25 16:17:45	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1451d5…
10-24 22:46:51	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x390abd…
10-24 22:39:21	Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x463ae5…
10-24 22:35:17	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xb27bd6…
10-24 22:23:08	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6baef2…
10-24 16:30:44	Will Vance peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x17d301…
10-24 15:01:15	Will Vance peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d223b…
10-24 14:14:32	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	90	58¢	$52	0x3a4c3b…
10-21 09:20:08	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x5de5d5…
10-19 19:30:53	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	No	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xa8e5ee…
10-19 12:40:35	Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x6c4831…
10-18 05:34:33	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6358c2…
10-18 04:01:41	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0x51c50b…
10-17 21:02:06	Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf01179…
10-12 15:19:21	Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?	Yes	BUY	181	5¢	$9	0xc6361e…
10-11 11:03:11	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	No	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x8903c7…
10-10 22:00:49	Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x5a5f18…
10-10 21:23:55	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x491fa4…
10-10 21:23:49	Will Simon peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x64de7f…
10-10 06:38:45	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x75f72f…
10-10 04:33:37	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x172aff…
10-10 04:33:24	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x02d900…
10-10 04:33:16	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xff7842…
10-10 04:33:16	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5c3206…
10-09 22:58:46	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x3b3470…
10-09 22:58:20	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?	No	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x549655…
10-09 22:53:10	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x513551…
10-09 22:53:10	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4193f6…
10-09 22:53:07	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xef2daa…
10-09 22:53:07	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2c5247…
10-09 21:57:13	Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?	No	BUY	102	79¢	$81	0x6a3de5…
10-09 18:03:41	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$147	0x9cf4c5…
10-08 21:00:23	Will Koguma peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xca2996…
10-08 21:00:12	Will Koguma peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x666733…
10-07 22:45:13	Will Trump say "Beat Meat" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2740bf…
10-07 22:39:35	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x898fd3…
10-07 22:31:49	Will Trump say "Cartel" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbbc9d0…
10-07 21:54:58	Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf73f1a…
10-07 21:47:06	Will Trump say "Cartel" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xfff798…
10-07 14:50:23	Will Rachel peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x33c3cf…
10-05 20:32:01	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x32e6a4…
10-04 22:47:47	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d21a1…
10-04 19:19:10	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	95	68¢	$64	0x5439de…
10-04 13:00:26	Will Choi-wan peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0xcba5e5…
10-03 23:35:38	Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4ae20e…
10-03 22:27:10	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xd361f1…
10-03 22:19:23	will trump say data center during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xccd5cc…
10-01 23:16:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on october 11 2026 20261001004229017	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x557282…
10-01 22:55:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on october 10 2026 20261001004229017	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x749465…
10-01 22:47:05	will donald trump publicly insult someone on october 11 2026 20261001004229017	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x75984b…
10-01 22:19:45	Will Trump say "Truck" or "Trucker" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f2703…
10-01 22:18:48	Will Trump say "Truck" or "Trucker" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb96413…
10-01 22:15:26	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc0a1cb…
10-01 22:08:42	Will Trump say "Truck" or "Trucker" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x673d70…
10-01 21:55:41	Will Trump say "Ford" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xda41c7…
10-01 21:43:05	Will Trump's remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company not air?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$2	0x94c78e…
10-01 20:02:35	Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xc2dcd7…
10-01 19:55:27	Will Trump say "Shit" in October?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xbcba9e…
10-01 19:41:21	Will Nolo peak at Category 5?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xf2dfe2…
10-01 12:05:42	Will Trump say "Shit" in October?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5d81a4…
09-30 20:57:21	will trump say ice cream in october	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xa49100…
09-30 20:42:54	Will Trump say "Amazon" in September?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc25edc…
09-30 20:24:57	will trump say central casting in october 20261031	No	BUY	61	15¢	$9	0x1b6e6f…
09-30 20:21:23	Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total?	Sotheby's	BUY	62	44¢	$27	0xfd6d5d…
09-30 20:13:42	Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4ae5fc…
09-28 19:57:32	Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x5eca29…
09-28 09:12:17	Will Trump say "Uber" in September?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x3b95ae…
09-28 04:31:38	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?	No	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0xd7e93d…
09-27 13:01:50	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb37b5f…
09-27 13:01:44	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x09433f…
09-27 12:55:00	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x774ef8…
09-27 12:17:57	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?	No	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xb16f66…
09-24 22:20:23	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	No	SELL	121	76¢	$92	0xc358f8…
09-24 20:13:12	will surigae make landfall in japan 1790200610286	No	BUY	121	27¢	$33	0xcf9c9e…
09-24 07:31:47	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xffb6e4…
09-22 22:07:14	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xfff2b9…
09-22 21:52:34	all time pacific category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb01816…
09-22 19:43:43	Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa4459a…
09-22 18:15:16	Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?	No	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x3e0e46…
09-21 19:37:34	will trump say beautiful 2 times during his ribbon cutting ceremony	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x6139a7…
09-21 19:06:27	will trump say beautiful 2 times during his ribbon cutting ceremony	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x1a36b5…
09-21 18:20:30	will tropical storm fay strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x35fb8b…
09-21 18:19:58	will tropical storm fay strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc8afcf…
09-21 18:19:58	will tropical storm fay strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x81c0ff…
09-21 18:19:57	will tropical storm fay strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xee96fc…
09-21 18:19:57	will tropical storm fay strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x6551ca…
09-20 17:35:51	Will Trump say "Valueless" this week?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xe2f722…
09-20 16:08:37	Will Trump say "Monopoly" this week?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x19eb3e…
09-17 22:43:42	will trump insult xi by end of summit 20260916	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf38d27…
09-13 19:45:45	Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf90b4b…
09-04 16:10:28	lindsay clancy sentenced to prison time	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x734cd2…
09-04 16:09:36	lindsay clancy sentenced to prison time	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98d15b…
09-04 16:09:21	lindsay clancy sentenced to prison time	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4fc82a…