Upbeat-Divorce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

35% — —

Politics

34% 67% +$1

Crypto

25% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	01-30 18:00
penguin listed on binance by march 31	4	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	02-02 08:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 07:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 08:05
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-18 14:48
spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-22 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$15	18	18	+0	Yes	$-1	02-17 08:10
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 09:02
ethereum up or down on january 20	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:27
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:26
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 14:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 06:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 09:35
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-27 16:54
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-28 14:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	04-25 06:35
spx up or down on january 30 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-30 17:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-03 12:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 08:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-27 16:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-21 17:42
Will the US strike Iraq next?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-27 16:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	02-14 06:44
tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-07 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 15:30
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 08:11
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	05-11 09:59
paddy pimblett staph infection by feb 1st	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-01 07:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-16 07:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-07 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 10:53:24	dogecoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc1319e…
08-11 11:07:48	sol updown 4h 1786435200	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x893f9a…
08-11 07:26:46	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x4d9372…
08-10 11:37:22	xrp up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0bda53…
08-09 08:38:13	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb4f7f1…
08-09 08:35:51	xrp up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb63668…
08-08 14:15:19	bnb up or down on august 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa823d3…
08-08 14:14:55	xrp up or down on august 8 2026	Down	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x677aa0…
08-05 07:30:06	hype up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0fa4b0…
08-05 07:29:45	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x801251…
08-04 14:30:27	xrp up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xee7e45…
08-03 16:14:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5cb773…
08-03 16:12:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeec644…
08-03 16:09:50	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x683670…
07-30 08:50:57	solana up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x103c13…
07-29 11:40:59	sol updown 4h 1785312000	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2f3eba…
07-29 11:40:27	xrp updown 4h 1785312000	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xcc4dab…
07-28 09:34:19	solana up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd739b0…
07-27 07:41:45	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf75a28…
07-27 07:41:03	eth updown 4h 1785124800	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1cf24c…
07-26 08:07:52	solana up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9331f9…
07-25 16:39:07	hype up or down on july 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x699543…
07-23 09:56:00	xrp up or down on july 23 2026	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x090e75…
07-22 15:22:09	hype up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xa8799e…
07-22 15:19:34	bitcoin up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x93387d…
07-20 11:08:40	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x3c2e07…
07-20 11:07:24	bnb up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x621a1d…
07-20 10:57:04	bnb up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x182943…
07-19 11:03:28	ethereum up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf91544…
07-18 10:13:01	bitcoin up or down on july 18 2026	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x67cf97…
07-17 10:54:55	bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	Up	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xc3117c…
07-14 09:32:17	hype updown 4h 1784016000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xad1874…
07-13 08:01:07	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x559445…
07-13 08:00:50	xrp up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2f09eb…
07-12 08:42:13	dogecoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x852755…
07-12 08:34:55	solana up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2a472e…
07-09 10:09:04	dogecoin up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x589b71…
07-09 10:06:04	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf7212a…
07-08 10:57:37	btc updown 4h 1783497600	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x3f383b…
07-06 07:39:17	btc updown 4h 1783310400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc547f1…
07-06 07:39:01	btc updown 4h 1783310400	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb9973…
07-05 10:37:49	xrp up or down on july 5 2026	Up	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x45c1b4…
07-05 10:37:32	solana up or down on july 5 2026	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x697fa1…
07-05 10:00:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4f0d91…
07-04 10:28:05	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x831baa…
07-03 11:24:52	xrp up or down on july 3 2026	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3b94cf…
07-03 11:24:10	ethereum up or down on july 3 2026	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x26ace0…
06-28 11:51:56	sol updown 4h 1782633600	Down	BUY	346	0¢	$1	0x469f8a…
06-27 16:06:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf8b47f…
06-27 14:37:35	sol updown 4h 1782561600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6065bd…
06-25 15:46:58	ethereum up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6295b8…
06-25 15:46:31	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	1,095	0¢	$2	0xd35b8d…
06-24 08:16:31	ethereum up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf100c0…
06-22 11:41:32	btc updown 4h 1782115200	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xc91776…
06-22 11:41:01	btc updown 4h 1782115200	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xeb1237…
06-21 08:07:35	solana up or down on june 21 2026	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd99ce5…
06-21 08:06:50	solana up or down on june 21 2026	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x95ce73…
06-21 08:06:10	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xa36623…
06-20 07:37:23	ethereum up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xab878d…
06-20 07:36:58	bnb up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe038e9…
06-19 07:10:17	xrp updown 4h 1781841600	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x763b08…
06-19 07:09:47	bnb updown 4h 1781841600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbef7c2…
06-19 07:02:35	ethereum up or down on june 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a3d24…
06-18 04:58:56	xrp up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1487fc…
06-18 04:58:08	solana up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x677a22…
06-17 11:43:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc9c4e7…
06-17 10:19:43	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2dfff5…
06-17 07:11:16	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdadd8a…
06-17 04:24:22	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x46440b…
06-16 14:52:38	solana up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x29d6cb…
06-16 14:43:26	bnb up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4433b7…
06-16 14:32:43	xrp up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x75805b…
06-16 05:52:16	ethereum up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0f537f…
06-15 09:43:00	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0x111e62…
06-15 09:42:37	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x067342…
06-14 12:22:25	xrp up or down on june 14 2026	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb3d263…
06-14 12:22:04	ethereum up or down on june 14 2026	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xeed115…
06-13 05:08:42	solana up or down on june 13 2026	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfe9c63…
06-10 11:00:37	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7db7d9…
06-10 10:59:04	hype up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5d4f23…
06-10 10:58:52	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0b0601…
06-08 10:01:30	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf18248…
06-07 14:26:55	solana up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xfe71a9…
06-07 14:26:30	xrp up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x04f02c…
06-05 09:12:07	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x49a0e6…
06-05 09:10:49	ethereum up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9e34dc…
06-02 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x06987c…
06-01 11:32:54	Dogecoin Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5a7ee6…
06-01 11:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xce679c…
06-01 11:31:38	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e1c43…
06-01 11:31:30	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaae6a7…
05-30 06:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9eeaf5…
05-30 06:31:31	BNB Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb3fc7c…
05-26 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4f858b…
05-22 06:50:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x187bcc…
05-19 15:52:31	BNB Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7f943f…
05-19 15:52:13	Solana Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x609b4f…
05-19 15:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15db9e…
05-19 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4c541b…
05-18 15:06:26	hype up or down on may 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a2a60…