Upbeat-Divorce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$971

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

37% 67% +$1

Other

36% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	01-30 18:00
penguin listed on binance by march 31	4	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	02-02 08:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 07:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 08:05
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-18 14:48
spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-22 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$15	18	18	+0	Yes	$-1	02-17 08:10
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 09:02
ethereum up or down on january 20	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:27
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:26
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 14:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 06:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 09:35
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-27 16:54
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-28 14:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	04-25 06:35
spx up or down on january 30 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-30 17:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-03 12:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 08:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-27 16:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-21 17:42
Will the US strike Iraq next?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-27 16:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	02-14 06:44
tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-07 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 15:30
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 08:11
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	05-11 09:59
paddy pimblett staph infection by feb 1st	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-01 07:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-16 07:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-07 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 11:00:37	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7db7d9…
06-10 10:59:04	hype up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5d4f23…
06-10 10:58:52	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0b0601…
06-08 10:01:30	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf18248…
06-07 14:26:55	solana up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xfe71a9…
06-07 14:26:30	xrp up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x04f02c…
06-05 09:12:07	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x49a0e6…
06-05 09:10:49	ethereum up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9e34dc…
06-02 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x06987c…
06-01 11:32:54	Dogecoin Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5a7ee6…
06-01 11:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xce679c…
06-01 11:31:38	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e1c43…
06-01 11:31:30	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaae6a7…
05-30 06:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9eeaf5…
05-30 06:31:31	BNB Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb3fc7c…
05-26 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4f858b…
05-22 06:50:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x187bcc…
05-19 15:52:31	BNB Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7f943f…
05-19 15:52:13	Solana Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x609b4f…
05-19 15:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15db9e…
05-19 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4c541b…
05-18 15:06:26	hype up or down on may 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a2a60…
05-18 15:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xbec289…
05-18 14:57:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d58a6…
05-17 09:30:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfea989…
05-17 09:24:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd805fa…
05-15 13:39:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x592860…
05-15 09:00:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d7d61…
05-15 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf89be3…
05-15 08:48:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x4fc921…
05-15 08:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x0ab8a2…
05-11 11:53:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xdb924c…
05-11 10:08:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3d4311…
05-11 10:03:55	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x054e52…
05-11 10:03:33	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x687940…
05-11 10:01:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf26c52…
05-11 09:59:10	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xa88e37…
05-09 15:09:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x255204…
05-07 11:41:33	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe7d047…
05-01 08:30:52	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6f6549…
04-30 15:09:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0d764a…
04-29 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e40ab…
04-29 08:43:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f1b63…
04-25 15:55:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x16c4c9…
04-25 10:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1c5ba4…
04-25 10:41:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x855ac2…
04-25 09:15:40	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1b3a04…
04-25 06:57:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf303dd…
04-25 06:35:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8adcec…
04-21 12:51:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x343aa4…
04-20 07:45:52	Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xadeee8…
04-19 08:06:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2996c8…
04-16 07:47:36	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1022b6…
04-16 07:40:10	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2af6e2…
04-12 10:21:13	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xec0b99…
04-12 10:20:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xef397d…
04-12 10:18:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xb774f5…
04-11 11:14:17	will trump dance during ufc 327	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x76e25c…
04-09 08:13:17	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3e6e6d…
04-08 07:19:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6f7b39…
04-08 07:19:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2eed10…
04-06 10:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xee6827…
04-06 10:07:25	lal rea gir 2026 04 10 rea	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xba4570…
04-06 09:56:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9869b1…
04-05 09:07:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53074d…
04-05 07:12:05	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbf9ec7…
04-05 07:08:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2eb2ff…
04-04 15:30:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe1829b…
04-02 11:50:25	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xad9e7a…
04-02 11:50:05	lal ray elc 2026 04 03 ray	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x58294a…
04-01 17:54:21	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 mad	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc58189…
04-01 10:33:39	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7d6cba…
04-01 08:16:33	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe06b59…
04-01 08:14:29	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1ac85f…
04-01 08:07:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc0ec55…
03-30 11:40:56	Starmer approval Up or Down in April?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xedfc9c…
03-30 11:40:12	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe5d3b6…
03-30 11:34:38	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5a180c…
03-30 08:37:58	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5d31ea…
03-29 06:45:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcc7e7e…
03-29 06:44:56	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b6eb7…
03-27 15:16:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x157e8b…
03-27 10:04:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x395eea…
03-27 10:04:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c1a74…
03-27 10:01:27	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc8de42…
03-27 05:43:01	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x43fb04…
03-27 05:41:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x96edaa…
03-23 09:44:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa10459…
03-23 09:44:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4d96ba…
03-23 09:44:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1920e1…
03-23 09:43:43	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0c00fb…
03-23 09:37:27	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x290471…
03-23 09:35:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xd37f60…
03-22 09:04:31	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x691282…
03-22 09:04:05	epl ast wes 2026 03 22 ast	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x31036b…
03-22 09:03:43	epl new sun 2026 03 22 new	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x55794c…
03-22 09:02:39	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x9e5cdf…
03-21 08:41:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8ffd09…
03-20 11:26:53	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfe40d0…
03-20 11:25:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc5d00d…