Upbeat-Divorce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

36% — —

Politics

35% 67% +$1

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No		-4	$-4	96¢	$-4	$-0	06-21 08:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+5	$3	72¢	$4	+$1	06-27 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	01-30 18:00
penguin listed on binance by march 31	4	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	02-02 08:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 07:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 08:05
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-18 14:48
spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-22 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$15	18	18	+0	Yes	$-1	02-17 08:10
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 09:02
ethereum up or down on january 20	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:27
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:26
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 14:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-14 06:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 09:35
Will the US strike Venezuela next?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-27 16:54
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-28 14:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	04-25 06:35
spx up or down on january 30 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-30 17:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-03 12:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 08:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-27 16:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-21 17:42
Will the US strike Iraq next?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-27 16:32
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	02-14 06:44
tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-07 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 15:30
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 08:11
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	05-11 09:59
paddy pimblett staph infection by feb 1st	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-01 07:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-16 07:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-07 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 11:51:56	sol updown 4h 1782633600	Down	BUY	346	0¢	$1	0x469f8a…
06-27 16:06:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf8b47f…
06-27 14:37:35	sol updown 4h 1782561600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6065bd…
06-25 15:46:58	ethereum up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6295b8…
06-25 15:46:31	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	1,095	0¢	$2	0xd35b8d…
06-24 08:16:31	ethereum up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf100c0…
06-22 11:41:32	btc updown 4h 1782115200	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xc91776…
06-22 11:41:01	btc updown 4h 1782115200	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xeb1237…
06-21 08:07:35	solana up or down on june 21 2026	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd99ce5…
06-21 08:06:50	solana up or down on june 21 2026	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x95ce73…
06-21 08:06:10	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xa36623…
06-20 07:37:23	ethereum up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xab878d…
06-20 07:36:58	bnb up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe038e9…
06-19 07:10:17	xrp updown 4h 1781841600	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x763b08…
06-19 07:09:47	bnb updown 4h 1781841600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbef7c2…
06-19 07:02:35	ethereum up or down on june 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a3d24…
06-18 04:58:56	xrp up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1487fc…
06-18 04:58:08	solana up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x677a22…
06-17 11:43:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc9c4e7…
06-17 10:19:43	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2dfff5…
06-17 07:11:16	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdadd8a…
06-17 04:24:22	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x46440b…
06-16 14:52:38	solana up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x29d6cb…
06-16 14:43:26	bnb up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4433b7…
06-16 14:32:43	xrp up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x75805b…
06-16 05:52:16	ethereum up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0f537f…
06-15 09:43:00	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0x111e62…
06-15 09:42:37	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x067342…
06-14 12:22:25	xrp up or down on june 14 2026	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb3d263…
06-14 12:22:04	ethereum up or down on june 14 2026	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xeed115…
06-13 05:08:42	solana up or down on june 13 2026	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfe9c63…
06-10 11:00:37	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7db7d9…
06-10 10:59:04	hype up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5d4f23…
06-10 10:58:52	xrp up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0b0601…
06-08 10:01:30	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf18248…
06-07 14:26:55	solana up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xfe71a9…
06-07 14:26:30	xrp up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x04f02c…
06-05 09:12:07	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x49a0e6…
06-05 09:10:49	ethereum up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9e34dc…
06-02 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x06987c…
06-01 11:32:54	Dogecoin Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5a7ee6…
06-01 11:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xce679c…
06-01 11:31:38	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e1c43…
06-01 11:31:30	HYPE Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xaae6a7…
05-30 06:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9eeaf5…
05-30 06:31:31	BNB Up or Down on May 30?	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb3fc7c…
05-26 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4f858b…
05-22 06:50:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x187bcc…
05-19 15:52:31	BNB Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7f943f…
05-19 15:52:13	Solana Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x609b4f…
05-19 15:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15db9e…
05-19 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4c541b…
05-18 15:06:26	hype up or down on may 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a2a60…
05-18 15:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xbec289…
05-18 14:57:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d58a6…
05-17 09:30:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfea989…
05-17 09:24:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd805fa…
05-15 13:39:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x592860…
05-15 09:00:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d7d61…
05-15 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf89be3…
05-15 08:48:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x4fc921…
05-15 08:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x0ab8a2…
05-11 11:53:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xdb924c…
05-11 10:08:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3d4311…
05-11 10:03:55	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x054e52…
05-11 10:03:33	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x687940…
05-11 10:01:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf26c52…
05-11 09:59:10	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xa88e37…
05-09 15:09:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x255204…
05-07 11:41:33	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe7d047…
05-01 08:30:52	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6f6549…
04-30 15:09:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0d764a…
04-29 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e40ab…
04-29 08:43:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f1b63…
04-25 15:55:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x16c4c9…
04-25 10:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1c5ba4…
04-25 10:41:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x855ac2…
04-25 09:15:40	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1b3a04…
04-25 06:57:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf303dd…
04-25 06:35:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8adcec…
04-21 12:51:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x343aa4…
04-20 07:45:52	Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xadeee8…
04-19 08:06:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2996c8…
04-16 07:47:36	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1022b6…
04-16 07:40:10	Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2af6e2…
04-12 10:21:13	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xec0b99…
04-12 10:20:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xef397d…
04-12 10:18:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xb774f5…
04-11 11:14:17	will trump dance during ufc 327	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x76e25c…
04-09 08:13:17	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3e6e6d…
04-08 07:19:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x6f7b39…
04-08 07:19:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2eed10…
04-06 10:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xee6827…
04-06 10:07:25	lal rea gir 2026 04 10 rea	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xba4570…
04-06 09:56:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9869b1…
04-05 09:07:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x53074d…
04-05 07:12:05	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbf9ec7…
04-05 07:08:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2eb2ff…
04-04 15:30:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe1829b…
04-02 11:50:25	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xad9e7a…