Considerate-Rubber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

246

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$18

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-30 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

67% 22% -$389

Politics

14% 6% -$315

Crypto

10% 12% -$219

Sports

9% 8% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	+258	$20	4¢	$12	-$8	08-30 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+188	$15	3¢	$6	-$9	08-30 22:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-02 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$180	233	233	+0	Yes	+$100	07-19 21:41
highest temperature in miami on april 10 2026 80 81f	2	$157	88	87	+1	Yes	+$17	04-10 23:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$140	200	200	+0	No	+$100	04-07 23:42
highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 24c	2	$125	76	75	+1	Yes	+$26	04-08 19:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$115	250	38	+212	No	-$85	05-05 14:47
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 22c	3	$111	81	78	+2	Yes	+$47	04-09 14:40
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	1	$100	154	0	+154	No	-$100	04-09 07:42
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 60 61f	2	$96	57	56	+1	Yes	+$17	04-11 22:11
highest temperature in istanbul on april 13 2026 12c	2	$88	49	48	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	5	$87	483	95	+388	No	-$33	04-16 22:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$82	196	190	+6	No	-$24	04-30 12:15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	521	521	+0	No	-$20	07-06 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?	4	$75	76	76	+0	Yes	+$72	04-29 16:50
highest temperature in nyc on april 8 2026 46 47f	2	$73	47	46	+1	Yes	+$14	04-08 20:47
highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 84 85f	2	$72	37	37	+0	Yes	+$2	04-17 05:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	6	$72	512	135	+376	No	-$28	04-12 17:59
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	11	$69	3,961	2,971	+990	No	-$7	02-19 00:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$67	86	84	+3	Yes	+$44	04-29 22:54
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	10	$67	2,531	1,898	+633	No	-$29	02-19 23:08
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	2	$66	36	35	+0	Yes	+$5	04-13 16:37
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 54 55f	5	$65	81	80	+1	Yes	-$46	04-12 19:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$64	7,827	0	+7,827	Yes	-$64	03-02 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?	5	$62	107	107	+0	No	-$18	05-01 16:56
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	2	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 21:20
highest temperature in milan on april 7 2026 25c	3	$61	38	38	+1	Yes	+$12	04-07 15:44
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	2	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 16:11
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	2	$58	32	32	+0	Yes	+$6	04-08 19:06
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	7	$56	1,220	800	+420	No	-$38	02-21 23:43
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	9	$53	1,681	0	+1,681	No	-$53	02-20 20:50
highest temperature in austin on april 5 2026 64 65f	2	$52	33	32	+1	Yes	+$13	04-06 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 22:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xae1c6c…
08-30 22:55:36	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	258	8¢	$20	0xf4944b…
08-30 22:55:06	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	Yes	BUY	112	13¢	$15	0x11c4f3…
07-19 21:41:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	233	60¢	$140	0xf115d4…
07-06 21:23:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x601c85…
07-06 19:17:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	521	6¢	$30	0x61dc4c…
06-18 15:18:37	Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,940	0¢	$2	0xe35a47…
06-18 15:17:52	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,176	2¢	$20	0x17bcba…
06-18 15:17:37	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xe8952a…
06-15 16:02:49	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xecd714…
06-14 09:31:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x1c0244…
06-14 09:28:37	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeac53f…
06-14 09:20:57	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe8a60f…
06-14 09:12:33	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xe7d84f…
06-14 09:11:39	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xd1b179…
06-14 09:11:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$2	0x2d0a4e…
06-14 09:11:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	454	0¢	$2	0xc7dbd6…
06-06 00:11:27	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x39bdd8…
06-03 22:48:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x2fd3b7…
06-03 22:47:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x77ad96…
06-03 22:46:57	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	750	4¢	$30	0x13b3d4…
06-03 22:44:06	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,875	2¢	$30	0x88dce7…
06-03 22:43:51	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$20	0x6c3595…
06-03 22:43:40	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x52b578…
06-03 22:43:22	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,083	1¢	$25	0xd305f7…
06-03 22:42:37	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xae121e…
06-03 22:42:24	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$15	0x3de4d8…
06-03 22:41:52	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	521	10¢	$50	0x6f5eea…
05-27 22:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xe0f77e…
05-27 22:14:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8d27a2…
05-27 22:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	238	0¢	$0	0x7abd10…
05-13 07:09:24	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0x464d8d…
05-08 16:08:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$3	0x3b52d4…
05-05 14:47:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xe87621…
05-05 14:47:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xec9d76…
05-05 14:06:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x9dcb57…
05-05 14:06:06	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xf453b2…
05-05 14:05:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0x3de56a…
05-04 22:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$9	0xd45546…
05-04 22:13:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0x25da9c…
05-04 22:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x5b556e…
05-04 22:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x4d6da5…
05-04 22:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	456	1¢	$5	0xd3572e…
05-04 22:01:38	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd58a1c…
05-04 15:08:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xd56802…
05-04 14:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0x488bf7…
05-04 13:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xc4bf0e…
05-04 13:12:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x3d3d6d…
05-04 08:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1250e1…
05-04 08:19:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x4e3100…
05-04 08:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	447	11¢	$50	0xc81c52…
05-04 07:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x0205bb…
05-04 07:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xfc3369…
05-04 07:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x7ce75e…
05-03 20:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa48f7c…
05-03 17:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc0826b…
05-03 16:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x1b7660…
05-03 12:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xec26b9…
05-02 22:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcaae41…
05-02 22:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae1b4e…
05-02 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa6711d…
05-02 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5f67d8…
05-02 22:48:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x0c6e80…
05-02 22:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x447eb3…
05-02 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xec0562…
05-02 22:28:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x985e99…
05-02 22:28:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$2	0x4fa9b0…
05-02 22:28:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x1c7c36…
05-02 20:44:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6a9d4d…
05-02 20:44:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x22d92b…
05-02 20:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xbbae69…
05-02 19:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4d5840…
05-02 19:09:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7061a4…
05-02 16:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x32d21a…
05-02 15:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc3ad6c…
05-02 15:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x032e28…
05-02 14:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x2ff74a…
05-02 14:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xdb3561…
05-02 14:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x36d34a…
05-02 13:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0x040021…
05-02 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x159758…
05-02 11:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x5a50d7…
05-02 11:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3c874d…
05-02 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x967f39…
05-02 09:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x52ab53…
05-02 09:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x66cd13…
05-02 08:32:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xec63c1…
05-02 08:24:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xbbd566…
05-02 04:00:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	93	6¢	$5	0x9ac472…
05-02 03:01:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x2ff070…
05-01 16:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x8837d4…
05-01 16:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0xbc94a7…
05-01 15:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xcd69e3…
05-01 15:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2a4912…
05-01 15:20:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0x233516…
05-01 15:16:12	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0xcd63c1…
05-01 15:16:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	277	7¢	$20	0x0dbb62…
05-01 15:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	53	36¢	$19	0xdbd8c8…
05-01 15:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0x955725…
05-01 15:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfe4615…