Realized P&L (30d)
-$236
Unrealized P&L
-$79
Hit rate
14.4%
Resolved (30d)
35
Trades (30d)
842
15,690 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.70K
$33.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$57
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
77% 14% -$1,765
Politics
16% 47% -$52
Tech
5% 17% -$21
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -259 -$31 5¢ $-13 +$18 04-28 22:46
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -92 -$10 7¢ $-7 +$3 05-01 07:52
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +172 $32 3¢ $6 -$26 06-17 20:05
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $5 -$1 11-07 01:22
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes -130 -$11 3¢ $-4 +$7 04-30 07:32
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +160 $19 2¢ $3 -$16 11-08 20:17
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -180 -$20 2¢ $-3 +$17 04-30 07:31
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +173 $57 2¢ $3 -$54 06-18 12:31
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +149 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 11-05 21:26
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? Yes +100 $13 2¢ $2 -$11 09-11 14:31
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +32 $15 8¢ $2 -$12 11-08 21:54
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -125 -$12 2¢ $-2 +$9 06-18 12:31
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? Yes +50 $9 2¢ $1 -$8 09-25 14:51
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$7 2¢ $-1 +$6 04-29 13:04
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes -3 -$1 22¢ $-1 +$0 05-07 07:30
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? Yes -24 $1 1¢ $-0 -$1 10-24 11:40
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 10-23 17:21
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 08-09 17:00