Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
264
lifetime
Volume
$9.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$2.96K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
68% 100% +$0
Politics
24% 100% +$2
Sports
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,099 $798 86¢ $951 +$152 07-20 21:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +832 $731 92¢ $762 +$30 07-03 11:20
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -336 $-275 86¢ $-288 $-12 07-20 00:15
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -248 $-240 95¢ $-237 +$3 07-17 21:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +232 $186 88¢ $203 +$17 06-24 21:32
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -190 $-177 94¢ $-179 $-2 07-20 00:20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -121 $-95 92¢ $-111 $-16 06-16 12:36
New pandemic in 2026? No -100 $-89 94¢ $-93 $-4 05-29 11:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 06-19 13:15
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -56 $-34 60¢ $-34 +$0 07-16 01:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 07-20 07:51