Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$4.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.68K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 06-04 10:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
64% 100% +$0
Politics
26% 100% +$2
Sports
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,127 $853 78¢ $885 +$32 06-04 10:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -312 $-263 86¢ $-270 $-7 05-31 20:19
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -292 $-236 82¢ $-238 $-3 05-31 20:28
New pandemic in 2026? No -100 $-89 88¢ $-88 +$0 05-29 11:31
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -95 $-88 92¢ $-88 $-0 05-29 11:33
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 06-02 23:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -39 $-37 97¢ $-38 $-1 05-30 08:27
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 06-02 23:44