Realized P&L
+$3.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$500
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
180
Trades
3,668
lifetime
Volume
$215.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$14.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-18 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
32% 66% +$1,047
Politics
25% 68% +$1,365
Tech
17% 75% +$3,824
Crypto
17% 53% -$9,602
Sports
9% 88% +$7,085
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -3,247 -$3,075 98¢ $-3179 -$104 06-14 01:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,912 -$2,475 96¢ $-2800 -$325 05-12 16:54
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -2,727 -$2,220 88¢ $-2400 -$180 10-17 18:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1,690 -$1,538 97¢ $-1638 -$100 06-15 06:40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,900 -$765 34¢ $-972 -$206 10-05 09:46
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +600 $414 88¢ $531 +$117 08-02 05:21
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +528 $470 97¢ $512 +$43 06-14 06:36
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +544 $331 92¢ $503 +$171 10-15 22:04
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$294 97¢ $-291 +$3 10-16 08:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -282 -$268 94¢ $-267 +$1 10-18 08:52
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +230 $202 92¢ $212 +$9 08-02 04:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +381 $244 55¢ $209 -$34 06-02 05:53
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +200 $176 97¢ $195 +$19 05-15 10:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +300 $116 45¢ $135 +$19 06-10 06:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $77 94¢ $94 +$18 05-25 07:07
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +61 $25 100¢ $61 +$36 08-02 10:38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -87 -$161 62¢ $-55 +$106 06-15 06:41
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +9 $6 90¢ $8 +$2 08-02 10:51
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +600 $96 0¢ $1 -$95 06-02 06:11