Ambitious-Concentration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

545

Trades

1,206

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-07 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

50% 44% -$39

Crypto

20% 35% -$39

Politics

15% 29% -$16

Sports

15% 33% -$11

Tech

1% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		-3	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$1	05-07 01:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	40	$27	201	201	+0	No	-$3	04-23 22:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$19	59	59	+0	No	-$1	05-07 03:50
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	15	$19	16	16	+0	Bangladesh	-$1	04-23 12:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	18	$16	21	21	+0	No	$0	04-23 18:05
dota2 liquid flc 2026 04 23 game2	6	$11	10	6	+4	Team Liquid	+$2	04-23 17:16
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	5	$11	8	7	+0	Stefanos Tsitsipas	+$4	04-23 17:09
nba cle tor 2026 04 23	8	$11	9	9	+0	Raptors	+$1	04-24 02:25
nhl car ott 2026 04 23	8	$11	10	10	+0	Hurricanes	+$1	04-24 02:14
lol nip blg 2026 04 23	4	$10	11	7	+3	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$5	04-23 13:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	10	$10	19	19	+0	No	+$0	04-24 16:51
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	8	$9	17	17	+0	No	-$1	04-24 20:35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	7	$9	8	8	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$1	04-23 21:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 20:37
dota2 liquid flc 2026 04 23 game1	4	$8	12	5	+7	Team Liquid	+$2	04-23 14:39
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	6	$8	8	6	+2	Chennai Super Kings	$0	04-23 16:18
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	5	$7	6	6	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$1	04-23 22:22
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23	6	$7	6	6	+0	BetBoom Team	+$1	04-23 18:11
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	7	$7	8	8	+0	Atlanta Braves	-$1	04-23 19:24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers	6	$7	9	6	+3	Detroit Tigers	-$1	04-23 16:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	04-23 17:31
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings	7	$7	9	8	+1	Karachi Kings	-$1	04-23 16:20
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 23 game1	4	$7	7	4	+3	South America Rejects	+$1	04-23 07:55
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate	4	$7	5	4	+2	Tristan Schoolkate	+$1	04-23 08:34
lol lgd edg 2026 04 23 game handicap home 1pt5	4	$6	6	3	+3	LGD Gaming	+$0	04-23 09:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-24 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 03:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-24 20:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	8	$6	7	6	+0	No	+$0	04-24 20:40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$6	13	13	+0	No	$0	04-23 14:22
lol gal es 2026 04 23	5	$6	7	7	+0	Galions	$0	04-23 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4af78a…
05-07 16:25:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x58409e…
05-07 16:22:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x5c40ca…
05-07 16:21:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x380fb8…
05-07 16:21:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7306af…
05-07 16:20:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a7ad5…
05-07 16:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x429520…
05-07 16:20:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x743fa8…
05-07 16:20:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6043ae…
05-07 16:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x906165…
05-07 16:19:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2c74bd…
05-07 16:19:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xdd486e…
05-07 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x25bb3a…
05-07 16:16:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x7a9494…
05-07 16:11:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x229f42…
05-07 15:59:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedd1de…
05-07 15:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d4286…
05-07 15:57:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb1f520…
05-07 15:57:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb39bdd…
05-07 14:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7eeb8e…
05-07 04:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa927c9…
05-07 04:00:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x85cc01…
05-07 04:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x84e6ca…
05-07 03:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x034e33…
05-07 03:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7d70fa…
05-07 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1c1251…
05-07 03:58:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2ad05c…
05-07 03:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa8b0a9…
05-07 03:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfb9315…
05-07 03:56:50	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x42faac…
05-07 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaa4524…
05-07 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa28e23…
05-07 03:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xe6efdc…
05-07 03:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf3003…
05-07 03:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x30947e…
05-07 03:52:26	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf6cb9…
05-07 03:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x51bc12…
05-07 03:51:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x95f7c3…
05-07 03:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1bae20…
05-07 03:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4e7625…
05-07 03:50:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2db20d…
05-07 03:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc03d2a…
05-07 03:50:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x425e4f…
05-07 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x91e67a…
05-07 03:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6af27b…
05-07 03:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9dbbad…
05-07 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5de0e…
05-07 03:48:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x54cd2b…
05-07 01:25:01	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x441d27…
05-07 00:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xff1d88…
05-07 00:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5c23c7…
05-07 00:23:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6c96a0…
05-07 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b751b…
05-07 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x04cdaa…
05-07 00:22:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xf1acf6…
05-07 00:22:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x53232d…
05-07 00:21:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x879634…
05-07 00:21:49	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e3766…
05-07 00:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfe9b5f…
05-07 00:20:57	Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xec4bd7…
05-07 00:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x71f07c…
05-07 00:19:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xcaf6e9…
05-07 00:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x6f6a9f…
05-07 00:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x3deec6…
05-07 00:19:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf81fd0…
05-07 00:19:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1fbf51…
05-07 00:18:35	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0d4a25…
05-07 00:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbdb2d3…
05-07 00:17:41	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x270c91…
05-07 00:17:20	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x58fee4…
05-07 00:17:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd85f20…
05-07 00:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe8f03b…
05-07 00:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe73b4f…
05-07 00:16:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcb5ba1…
05-07 00:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd8f1f…
05-07 00:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b7d2b…
05-07 00:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4472e7…
05-07 00:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x25fc91…
05-07 00:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x52929c…
04-24 20:40:58	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x6f5c82…
04-24 20:40:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x94e2f5…
04-24 20:40:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9388c9…
04-24 20:40:38	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x834b1d…
04-24 20:40:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$0	0xfe9630…
04-24 20:40:24	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xaa0966…
04-24 20:40:18	Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	Mariano Navone	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x0a04a0…
04-24 20:40:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x431c44…
04-24 20:40:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x0202da…
04-24 20:39:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x2ebf2c…
04-24 20:39:54	highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x66c4c0…
04-24 20:39:46	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xe37012…
04-24 20:39:42	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xd248c7…
04-24 20:39:30	1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3e5509…
04-24 20:39:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x371881…
04-24 20:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x7f15f0…
04-24 20:39:10	Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4f4354…
04-24 20:39:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x03de8b…
04-24 20:38:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x50549d…
04-24 20:38:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x913c6f…
04-24 20:38:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x57cc1e…