Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,282

2,273 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$16.1K

$16.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-27

last 11-01 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% $0

Other

29% 0% $0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 880 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No		+6	$6	96¢	$6	$0	11-01 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	136	$604	361	361	+0	open	—	11-01 02:08
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	88	$392	220	220	+0	open	—	10-31 13:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	50	$279	145	145	+0	open	—	11-01 01:04
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	52	$255	137	137	+0	open	—	10-31 22:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	48	$218	168	168	+0	open	—	10-31 16:08
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	38	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	10-31 23:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	34	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	11-01 00:16
Iran Nuke before 2027?	35	$191	103	96	+6	open	—	11-01 04:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	18	$171	90	90	+0	open	—	10-29 16:11
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	10-30 16:32
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	10-29 13:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	18	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	10-29 16:24
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	11-01 02:07
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	10-30 16:17
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	10-29 12:34
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 16:09
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 16:19
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	14	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 15:13
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 13:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	24	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	10-30 16:17
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 11:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	28	$137	71	71	+0	open	—	10-31 22:55
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	22	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	11-01 03:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	22	$131	68	68	+0	open	—	10-29 14:46
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	10-29 14:40
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 13:11
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	18	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 14:12
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	18	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 15:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	12	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 15:14
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	12	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	10-29 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:04:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x16b4f4…
11-01 04:00:09	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x956d3a…
11-01 03:59:48	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xf6de01…
11-01 03:58:34	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x2be4b1…
11-01 03:57:48	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x4f7a48…
11-01 03:55:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x9b351c…
11-01 03:55:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xc6949f…
11-01 03:54:43	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xad47c2…
11-01 03:54:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xfbd75f…
11-01 03:27:46	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xf86cee…
11-01 03:26:58	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd10dcb…
11-01 03:20:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3ce308…
11-01 03:20:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb4e675…
11-01 03:17:31	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb3e2ca…
11-01 03:17:07	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x01e4ce…
11-01 03:16:19	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd220a8…
11-01 03:15:58	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3ceee…
11-01 03:14:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x768d6e…
11-01 03:13:49	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf37fcb…
11-01 03:08:28	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb16e1b…
11-01 03:07:46	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9b481a…
11-01 03:02:54	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x63fc2e…
11-01 03:02:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x69764a…
11-01 03:02:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0a9d84…
11-01 03:01:55	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52f707…
11-01 03:00:49	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xeb2807…
11-01 02:59:45	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6bed5f…
11-01 02:57:25	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2507dd…
11-01 02:56:51	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa5d458…
11-01 02:55:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x476808…
11-01 02:55:01	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7d4002…
11-01 02:51:49	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x065c17…
11-01 02:50:49	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe084ef…
11-01 02:08:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9a1b09…
11-01 02:08:16	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x75cc9b…
11-01 02:07:24	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x3ae645…
11-01 02:06:28	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x239863…
11-01 01:54:42	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf2827f…
11-01 01:53:36	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x54dc41…
11-01 01:48:16	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb2a4c1…
11-01 01:47:45	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdd1986…
11-01 01:42:45	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x3a65c8…
11-01 01:41:58	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x94f66f…
11-01 01:07:09	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7943b7…
11-01 01:06:34	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ecf64…
11-01 01:04:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa4b271…
11-01 01:03:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x445926…
11-01 00:56:06	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x007e76…
11-01 00:55:39	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xa399d7…
11-01 00:49:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb9756a…
11-01 00:48:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x144dad…
11-01 00:45:40	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x9ed330…
11-01 00:45:12	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd6f356…
11-01 00:32:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xec72f2…
11-01 00:32:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8aa9a3…
11-01 00:21:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0441f0…
11-01 00:20:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0300d6…
11-01 00:16:54	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf5a10a…
11-01 00:16:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd3e9b6…
11-01 00:15:49	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x976ffc…
11-01 00:15:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x89f15d…
11-01 00:14:24	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xb424ee…
11-01 00:13:39	Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x271e42…
11-01 00:12:55	Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x7656b4…
11-01 00:12:04	Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x68dbf8…
11-01 00:07:45	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x602ddb…
11-01 00:07:24	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xca1142…
11-01 00:06:54	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x31dc03…
11-01 00:06:31	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf1fc8e…
10-31 23:48:24	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf26011…
10-31 23:47:52	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x805d88…
10-31 23:47:22	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xb95369…
10-31 23:46:46	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3f625e…
10-31 23:43:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcf42d2…
10-31 23:42:51	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cb6e8…
10-31 23:42:22	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xfb743b…
10-31 23:41:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x9ab8f0…
10-31 23:40:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xf30611…
10-31 23:39:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf65315…
10-31 23:39:09	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x933fe4…
10-31 23:39:04	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x06a574…
10-31 23:38:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xa64594…
10-31 23:38:00	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x203f4d…
10-31 23:37:13	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf21d56…
10-31 23:36:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa9966d…
10-31 23:35:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x7a2a72…
10-31 23:35:30	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x47662f…
10-31 23:35:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x55a2ce…
10-31 23:34:24	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xad98a2…
10-31 23:34:07	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x005d66…
10-31 23:33:12	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc61208…
10-31 23:33:12	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x5d0f02…
10-31 23:32:36	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc17f79…
10-31 23:31:15	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x492eee…
10-31 23:30:16	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdd77e2…
10-31 23:24:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x692019…
10-31 23:24:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1980c3…
10-31 23:24:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x5341b2…
10-31 23:23:45	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb0e86a…
10-31 23:21:22	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa8bc79…