Dazzling-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$305

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

38% 33% $-1

Crypto

9% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	23	$22	19	20	-2	open	—	02-10 02:57
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 07:46
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-24 09:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	7	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-05 06:23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-30 06:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-02 04:35
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-13 06:47
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$5	5	7	-2	Yes	$-1	01-16 09:01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-29 10:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 09:30
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 09:10
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 08:02
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:50
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 03:41
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 01:16
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-30 02:28
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:15
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 09:02
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 07:48
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:35
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-21 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 04:35:50	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x591b72…
07-02 04:35:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x25db91…
07-02 04:28:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x537726…
07-02 04:27:46	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a37de…
07-01 02:51:29	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb2c595…
07-01 02:50:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9f7f7f…
07-01 02:39:38	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9ae250…
07-01 02:38:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x624d9f…
07-01 02:36:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xec5986…
06-30 06:14:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbbb87d…
06-30 04:49:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a78ba…
06-30 04:48:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70ce57…
06-29 10:34:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa6048b…
06-29 10:20:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7509a8…
06-27 03:13:46	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfedee9…
06-27 03:12:46	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x092637…
06-27 03:07:07	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10f80a…
06-27 03:05:32	will malaysia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b97f5…
06-26 09:22:04	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe73251…
06-26 09:21:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd608f8…
06-26 09:10:47	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5810e4…
06-26 09:09:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b798e…
06-24 09:10:26	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd92414…
06-24 09:09:56	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x044d85…
06-24 07:53:50	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x834dec…
06-24 07:52:55	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf243ab…
06-23 07:46:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x628f64…
06-23 07:45:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe58305…
06-23 07:29:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1a16e…
06-23 07:28:16	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x227488…
06-22 04:00:49	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xecd54d…
06-22 04:00:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x931bbb…
06-22 03:44:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x607e48…
06-22 03:42:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2b6e60…
06-21 08:21:16	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfbe413…
06-21 08:20:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x279a97…
06-21 07:57:16	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf585e2…
06-21 07:54:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f6d93…
06-18 08:22:49	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4a5aad…
06-18 08:22:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb6be72…
06-18 08:04:37	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd2748…
06-18 08:02:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8419a8…
06-17 07:09:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x897538…
06-17 07:08:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc0a5e…
06-17 07:00:17	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b00c1…
06-17 06:56:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x175539…
06-16 06:19:10	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x151e4b…
06-16 06:18:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf52c32…
06-16 04:33:21	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd1be17…
06-16 04:31:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9450c6…
06-15 08:02:45	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8ca976…
06-15 07:47:18	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03baea…
06-13 06:47:45	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x89b01f…
06-13 06:47:07	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a352d…
06-13 05:03:13	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x624359…
06-13 05:02:03	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc4213…
06-12 07:35:15	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec439c…
06-12 07:34:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89e78e…
06-12 07:18:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedfdcb…
06-12 07:17:13	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fd823…
06-11 07:36:07	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc228cd…
06-11 07:34:39	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b76a6…
06-11 07:09:18	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x289140…
06-11 07:06:31	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9129e7…
06-10 07:35:24	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8930f0…
06-10 07:34:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9906d1…
06-10 07:11:07	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2994…
06-10 07:09:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xea69ac…
06-09 07:10:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x703ea3…
06-09 06:45:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaff20f…
06-08 06:33:19	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x800b31…
06-08 06:32:04	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0c12e…
06-08 06:29:42	ethereum above 1300 on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb9a9c…
06-08 06:27:51	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb36626…
06-06 06:12:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x57e549…
06-06 04:42:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x36611a…
06-05 06:23:04	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb8f28c…
06-05 03:58:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42a641…
06-05 03:50:30	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb0f87e…
06-04 08:36:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b10ba…
06-04 08:16:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e269a…
06-03 07:39:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x368f6f…
06-03 07:34:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d51db…
06-02 04:44:22	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbdd6de…
06-02 04:44:05	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbf92b4…
06-02 04:34:26	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7a9b6…
06-02 04:33:26	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad5be8…
06-01 07:34:06	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff5998…
06-01 07:01:23	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb6fc40…
05-30 02:28:10	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c5cc3…
05-30 02:27:37	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcbd109…
05-30 02:21:44	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec9251…
05-30 02:19:48	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x942ad7…
05-29 06:24:00	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x58f565…
05-29 05:00:07	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb20f9…
05-29 04:58:46	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfbe434…
05-28 06:26:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1aab79…
05-28 06:25:42	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe40c7f…
05-28 04:34:36	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd70d5c…
05-28 04:33:54	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc357b…