Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$768

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-28 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

53% 42% -$712

Other

43% 68% -$2

Tech

2% 50% -$24

Crypto

2% 0% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-113	-$23	18¢	$-20	+$3	07-28 20:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	4	$295	1,158	0	+1,158	Yes	-$295	04-07 21:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$80	452	0	+452	Yes	-$80	04-04 00:39
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$75	46	46	+0	Yes	+$15	04-04 00:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$72	47	46	+1	No	+$13	04-21 00:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	1	$70	502	0	+502	No	-$70	03-14 18:41
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$70	167	0	+167	Yes	-$70	03-12 19:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	4	$57	32	32	+0	Yes	+$7	04-02 20:04
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$51	31	31	+0	No	+$11	04-01 20:23
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	04-08 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$50	78	0	+78	Yes	-$50	03-16 16:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$47	27	27	+0	No	+$7	04-02 20:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$42	79	34	+44	No	-$28	03-28 02:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$40	57	0	+57	Yes	-$40	04-01 21:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	03-13 18:30
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 21	2	$30	47	0	+47	Yes	-$30	03-20 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$30	47	0	+47	No	+$17	03-14 01:16
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	1	$30	125	0	+125	No	-$30	03-20 16:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	+$13	03-28 02:31
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	1	$30	55	0	+55	Ceasefire	-$30	03-20 19:30
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$30	44	0	+44	No	+$14	03-14 18:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$30	65	0	+65	Yes	-$30	04-04 00:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	1	$30	87	0	+87	Yes	-$30	03-28 02:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$30	57	0	+57	No	+$27	04-01 21:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$30	36	0	+36	No	+$6	04-01 21:16
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	1	$30	48	0	+48	Yes	-$30	03-20 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	04-01 21:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$30	36	0	+36	Yes	-$30	04-04 00:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$30	42	0	+42	Yes	-$30	04-04 00:38
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$30	34	0	+34	No	+$4	03-13 18:10
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	2	$29	24	24	+0	No	-$11	03-27 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 20:58:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x5689fc…
07-28 20:54:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	113	20¢	$23	0x5ec53d…
04-21 00:26:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x1a6a1f…
04-08 21:02:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xde742c…
04-07 21:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	335	19¢	$65	0xcc788b…
04-04 00:39:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0xd8023f…
04-04 00:38:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xb9ebd3…
04-04 00:38:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x3a69c1…
04-04 00:38:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x9f411c…
04-04 00:32:21	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xde81da…
04-02 20:05:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbdfa02…
04-02 20:04:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x489e8b…
04-01 21:22:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xca7038…
04-01 21:16:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x9cc9f5…
04-01 21:16:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x1e56ed…
04-01 21:16:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xae8006…
04-01 21:16:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xa64242…
04-01 20:23:25	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa59fc7…
03-31 17:46:05	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x21f326…
03-30 20:23:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x12a470…
03-28 02:40:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	87	34¢	$30	0x13bbab…
03-28 02:39:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1852a3…
03-28 02:36:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x7ff048…
03-28 02:35:19	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xf42f3c…
03-28 02:33:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xc11993…
03-28 02:31:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x265f38…
03-28 02:31:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x69c53c…
03-27 19:54:29	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xd52038…
03-27 19:53:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc676c1…
03-27 19:53:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xce29c8…
03-27 19:52:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x206ac5…
03-27 19:52:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc41739…
03-20 19:30:53	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf56296…
03-20 19:30:03	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x176338…
03-20 19:28:43	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xfa022f…
03-20 16:57:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x867441…
03-20 16:52:09	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc3982a…
03-20 16:51:27	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd0ee69…
03-20 16:50:59	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x302780…
03-20 16:32:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x28e14d…
03-20 16:30:13	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 21	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x473494…
03-20 16:29:17	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 21	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2c031e…
03-20 16:27:47	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x914735…
03-20 16:25:37	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6d208e…
03-20 16:24:01	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x28d260…
03-20 16:23:43	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xd61372…
03-20 16:22:49	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x134f10…
03-18 23:54:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x949bc7…
03-18 23:41:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	79	45¢	$35	0x057a0f…
03-18 23:36:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe483fd…
03-18 23:26:23	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xa165e0…
03-18 23:07:23	chatgpt outage by march 27	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xd8166a…
03-17 01:15:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xea73ca…
03-16 17:54:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe9a7f0…
03-16 17:50:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x3214ad…
03-16 17:46:19	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6705b6…
03-16 16:34:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x0f207d…
03-15 19:38:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x72a069…
03-14 18:49:47	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xe14e19…
03-14 18:49:37	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x408e48…
03-14 18:47:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x617260…
03-14 18:47:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x422c87…
03-14 18:47:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x47830b…
03-14 18:46:17	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd41823…
03-14 18:41:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	502	14¢	$70	0x0198b4…
03-14 16:07:25	will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb45847…
03-14 01:16:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xf44fb3…
03-13 18:34:35	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	423	26¢	$110	0xb58a0a…
03-13 18:30:53	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x4ed285…
03-13 18:30:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xb4af4b…
03-13 18:30:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xac90c5…
03-13 18:30:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x019d4d…
03-13 18:24:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x904ddd…
03-13 18:23:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x359975…
03-13 18:21:21	will mrbeast say subscribe during his next video 268	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x569fa8…
03-13 18:11:35	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x8c8851…
03-13 18:10:27	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd46ca0…
03-13 18:09:57	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x55213e…
03-12 19:25:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x2ad0e4…
03-12 19:23:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcd5ffe…
03-12 19:23:37	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6d779e…
03-12 19:21:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x85af7c…