Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
7,166
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$8
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-09 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 33% $-8
Politics
30% 62% $-3
Other
11% 33% $-8
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 1879 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 44¢ $4 $-0 06-07 04:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +17 $3 10¢ $2 $-2 06-01 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 21:11
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-08 06:49
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 07:14