Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
43.3%
Resolved
19
Trades
7,578
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$63
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-30 05:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 33% $-8
Politics
32% 62% $-3
Other
11% 33% $-8
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +13 $10 83¢ $11 +$1 06-29 22:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +17 $10 62¢ $11 +$1 06-30 15:29
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -8 $-7 97¢ $-7 $-0 06-29 02:30
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -10 $-7 76¢ $-7 +$0 06-29 02:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +42 $10 17¢ $7 $-3 06-30 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $4 100¢ $6 +$2 06-15 04:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 17:45
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 +$0 06-29 02:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 02:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 38¢ $1 $-2 06-30 15:04
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-29 23:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -24 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-29 02:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $5 14¢ $1 $-4 06-21 16:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -3 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 02:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-29 02:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +7 $3 $0 $-3 06-29 02:31