(anonymous) 0xcf4ba4…7cef88
5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$234
Unrealized P&L
+$219
Hit rate
19.2%
Resolved
29
Trades
830
lifetime
Volume
$42.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$34.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
45% — —
Politics
28% 0% -$2
Sports
27% 54% -$232
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +11,790 $11,511 100¢ $11.8K +$268 09-20 07:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5,221 $5,051 96¢ $5.0K -$15 10-26 18:13
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,517 $4,315 100¢ $4.5K +$182 09-20 17:26
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,168 $2,104 97¢ $2.1K +$7 10-26 11:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,084 $1,832 92¢ $1.9K +$75 09-20 12:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +2,095 $1,872 90¢ $1.9K +$13 09-24 17:05
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,613 $1,581 99¢ $1.6K +$21 09-18 19:53
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +751 $701 97¢ $732 +$31 09-05 12:39
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +746 $732 97¢ $724 -$8 09-11 05:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +669 $633 94¢ $632 -$1 10-26 11:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +779 $621 81¢ $630 +$8 10-25 21:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +646 $582 90¢ $578 -$3 10-24 20:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +489 $464 99¢ $485 +$20 09-21 03:45
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +269 $264 99¢ $266 +$2 09-05 12:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +278 $258 92¢ $254 -$4 10-22 09:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,301 $264 19¢ $250 -$14 10-26 11:29
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +247 $235 94¢ $233 -$3 10-22 06:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +216 $209 97¢ $210 +$0 09-06 17:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,095 $243 10¢ $210 -$34 09-20 02:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +5,066 $186 4¢ $180 -$6 10-26 19:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,084 $280 8¢ $177 -$103 09-16 20:21
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,269 $70 3¢ $60 -$9 10-26 09:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +631 $33 6¢ $35 +$2 10-25 10:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +278 $22 8¢ $24 +$1 10-21 21:19
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +746 $14 3¢ $22 +$8 09-09 05:47
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,517 $212 0¢ $20 -$192 09-19 01:45
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +751 $49 3¢ $20 -$29 09-02 10:51
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +271 $16 6¢ $16 +$0 10-25 05:03
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +247 $13 6¢ $15 +$2 10-22 13:06
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 10-26 16:22