Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
2,861
Trades
4,656
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$257
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-31 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
51% 59% +$28
Sports
37% 54% +$38
Politics
7% 73% -$4
Crypto
4% 44% -$35
Tech
1% 88% +$31
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +24 $22 98¢ $23 +$1 05-10 20:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +24 $20 94¢ $23 +$3 05-14 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +24 $18 94¢ $23 +$5 05-12 20:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +16 $12 100¢ $16 +$4 05-23 07:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-18 22:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 05-19 02:00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +16 $14 96¢ $15 +$1 05-22 10:56
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +16 $12 94¢ $15 +$3 05-26 16:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +16 $11 85¢ $14 +$3 05-26 00:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +16 $13 84¢ $14 +$1 05-18 17:33
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +8 $6 99¢ $8 +$2 05-12 05:25
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 05-12 09:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 05-05 15:15
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +8 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 05-11 09:36
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 05-05 10:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$1 05-10 05:10
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +8 $6 91¢ $7 +$1 05-13 13:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$0 05-10 15:31
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +8 $7 82¢ $7 $0 05-08 01:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $7 66¢ $5 -$2 05-14 22:33
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $5 41¢ $5 $0 10-06 17:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +21 $10 18¢ $4 -$6 08-16 11:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $5 34¢ $3 -$2 10-26 14:43