Realized P&L (90d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved (90d)
10
Trades (90d)
23
4,657 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$196
$31.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$352
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 11-08 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
51% 59% +$25
Sports
37% 54% +$38
Politics
7% 72% -$5
Crypto
4% 44% -$35
Tech
1% 88% +$31
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +178 $95 39¢ $69 -$26 11-06 14:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +24 $22 99¢ $24 +$2 05-10 20:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +24 $20 98¢ $23 +$4 05-14 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +24 $18 98¢ $23 +$6 05-12 20:12
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +16 $12 98¢ $16 +$3 05-26 16:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-18 22:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 05-19 02:00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +16 $14 98¢ $16 +$2 05-22 10:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +16 $11 94¢ $15 +$4 05-26 00:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +16 $13 90¢ $14 +$2 05-18 17:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +21 $10 50¢ $11 +$1 08-16 11:17
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +48 $10 21¢ $10 +$0 11-08 15:55
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 05-12 09:23
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +8 $6 99¢ $8 +$2 05-12 05:25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 05-05 15:15
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 05-05 10:20
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +8 $6 98¢ $8 +$2 05-11 09:36
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$1 05-10 05:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 92¢ $7 +$1 05-10 15:31
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +8 $6 92¢ $7 +$1 05-13 13:27
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 $0 05-04 03:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +8 $7 84¢ $7 +$0 05-08 01:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-31 17:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $5 63¢ $5 +$0 10-26 14:43
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $5 46¢ $5 +$0 10-06 17:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $7 37¢ $3 -$4 05-14 22:33
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? Yes +28 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-28 04:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-04 19:26
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 05-25 18:14