Unrealistic-Clipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

117

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$6.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-25 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

60% 59% -$8

Politics

33% 50% -$413

Crypto

3% 56% -$5

Tech

3% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 100% +$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$405	260	260	+0	Yes	+$5	05-05 20:25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	12	$397	357	357	+0	No	-$5	05-13 06:08
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$196	156	156	+0	No	-$5	05-02 08:01
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	2	$194	156	156	+0	No	-$6	05-02 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$115	153	153	+0	No	+$7	05-10 07:40
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$114	61	61	+0	Yes	+$6	05-05 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	2	$112	92	92	+0	Yes	+$72	05-17 06:11
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$112	196	189	+7	No	+$4	04-27 10:51
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$112	221	211	+10	No	+$58	04-28 08:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$3	05-16 05:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$111	315	135	+180	Yes	+$3	05-05 08:48
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	2	$111	57	57	+0	No	+$3	05-13 06:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$100	04-28 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$100	200	0	+200	Yes	+$100	05-06 09:20
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	05-12 09:06
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$100	3,570	570	+3,000	Yes	-$8	05-02 07:22
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	3	$94	169	96	+73	Yes	-$14	05-06 09:30
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$86	59	59	+0	Yes	+$32	05-13 06:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$86	88	41	+47	Yes	+$25	04-27 07:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	2	$77	61	61	+0	Yes	+$37	05-16 13:05
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	2	$75	54	54	+0	No	+$32	04-30 20:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$71	47	47	+0	Yes	+$17	05-15 07:23
white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	3	$68	142	84	+58	No	-$21	04-24 11:04
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	2	$68	270	270	+0	Yes	+$14	05-05 20:56
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$65	85	82	+3	Yes	+$14	04-26 18:22
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$61	39	39	+0	No	+$7	05-04 18:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$60	60,000	0	+60,000	No	-$60	04-26 16:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$60	130	130	+0	No	+$6	05-25 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$59	115	115	+0	No	+$5	05-03 14:39
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$59	66	66	+0	No	+$5	05-10 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 15:19:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	130	25¢	$33	0x4bf533…
05-17 12:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x283bf7…
05-17 06:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x7f4f44…
05-17 06:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xf5711d…
05-16 13:05:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0xf6bdef…
05-16 12:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x115114…
05-16 05:38:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x5c7e5b…
05-16 05:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa2a251…
05-16 05:38:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3412a1…
05-16 05:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xf5e9d2…
05-16 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xa1f3be…
05-16 05:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xd0e13d…
05-16 05:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xaba2bb…
05-16 05:20:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 16?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x9f9b32…
05-15 21:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x15f991…
05-15 19:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$19	0xbb0cf1…
05-15 18:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x9eefd5…
05-15 18:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	158	13¢	$20	0x8d1ac3…
05-15 15:29:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	33	90¢	$29	0xc4f12e…
05-15 13:04:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa737f2…
05-15 12:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd695cf…
05-15 12:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0x52e469…
05-15 07:39:28	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbf4c16…
05-15 07:37:03	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf2e311…
05-15 07:35:34	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0x8070e6…
05-15 07:23:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x16357e…
05-14 19:17:40	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x1b1514…
05-14 19:11:22	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x6bb3b4…
05-14 19:00:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	36	63¢	$23	0x9d6fae…
05-14 15:44:28	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x12c83c…
05-14 15:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6ded9b…
05-14 05:49:44	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x8ae16e…
05-13 06:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x4eeeda…
05-13 06:23:10	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x3c7ce0…
05-13 06:22:31	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0xfce92f…
05-13 06:21:46	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x448d84…
05-13 06:08:30	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x93eda3…
05-13 06:08:24	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x0b4c49…
05-13 06:08:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x63dc19…
05-13 06:08:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2df883…
05-13 06:08:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$30	0xa11555…
05-13 06:07:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	38	78¢	$30	0x91e8fa…
05-12 12:36:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x3aa1b3…
05-12 09:09:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0xe84fda…
05-12 09:06:15	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc43f41…
05-12 09:03:01	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x9ce9c1…
05-12 09:00:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd1dbee…
05-12 08:45:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	63	56¢	$35	0x5138cb…
05-12 08:45:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x637825…
05-12 08:45:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	135	56¢	$75	0x69ac9e…
05-12 08:32:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x402690…
05-12 08:29:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x525f19…
05-12 08:29:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	132	60¢	$80	0xe0c4bf…
05-12 08:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$29	0xef7b2a…
05-12 08:02:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	31¢	$27	0x872154…
05-12 07:59:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0xa5f32a…
05-12 07:47:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	39	69¢	$27	0x8806b8…
05-12 07:29:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xd586c1…
05-12 07:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb8ac81…
05-12 07:01:00	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0xee5718…
05-12 06:57:23	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xcf9b9e…
05-12 06:53:06	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x8d4588…
05-11 07:33:43	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	322	16¢	$50	0xa5f3e4…
05-11 07:20:49	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x634551…
05-11 05:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x636cdd…
05-10 19:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x635572…
05-10 19:06:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e1be2…
05-10 18:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5327e0…
05-10 18:46:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	491	3¢	$15	0x321333…
05-10 18:44:09	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x766eba…
05-10 18:42:35	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	48¢	$32	0xe9ff49…
05-10 07:45:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xc566ff…
05-10 07:43:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x790739…
05-10 07:40:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0xa6b819…
05-10 07:40:28	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	36	77¢	$28	0x2b02fd…
05-10 07:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x62f806…
05-10 07:36:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x384589…
05-10 07:33:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0x7bd71c…
05-10 07:33:07	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x15e716…
05-10 07:27:29	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xf7b2a3…
05-10 07:18:07	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	643	2¢	$13	0x8162b5…
05-10 07:07:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x04209d…
05-10 07:01:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xbe103e…
05-09 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa4c5d6…
05-08 14:42:58	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0x14c784…
05-08 12:02:37	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0xc7c54b…
05-08 11:31:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x993e20…
05-07 20:37:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x59409d…
05-07 20:36:02	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x3f9203…
05-07 20:34:53	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x7bf463…
05-07 20:33:00	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0xc8bb32…
05-07 20:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0x8a61f7…
05-07 20:27:27	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	21¢	$27	0xffbae7…
05-06 10:06:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0xb2ea16…
05-06 09:52:40	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	107	25¢	$27	0x6673fd…
05-06 09:50:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x53e254…
05-06 09:46:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	6¢	$27	0xbe3f4e…
05-06 09:41:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	21¢	$27	0x81e5bf…
05-06 09:37:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	11¢	$27	0xcd6c6d…
05-06 09:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	73	37¢	$27	0x608bce…