Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$277
$239 in 24h
Trades
75
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$1,118
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 51 | $86 | $133 | $47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $12 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $28 | $19 | +$10 |
| Median | 9 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| Below median | 23 | $19 | $47 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $18 | $28 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| unranked | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | +84 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 09:50 |
| Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 12:04 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +26 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-15 09:59 |
| Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 20:25 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +22 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:56 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 20:28 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-15 12:59 |
| Acceptable-Peak 0x87b4…2656 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:12 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Magnificent-Independent 0xd3b1…c4d3 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:59 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 00:52 |
| Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 15:49 |
| Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 23:40 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 21:47 |
| Unequaled-Receptor 0x9e09…ee02 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:30 |
| Untimely-Swordfight 0xbdd0…fb81 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 12:06 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 10:10 |
| Forked-Disco 0x90e7…6f0e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:52 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:33 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-14 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 15:14 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:57 |
| Wet-Influx 0x0b76…1a84 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 04:36 |
| Enraged-Pita 0x5c70…edf3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:54 |
| Candid-Shovel 0x5b44…e2fc | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:39 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:05 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe217…9cbd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| Burly-Ounce-Silver 0x4d16…fb11 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:17:15 | Repentant-Disaster 0x4f92…be77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xfa5cfa… |
| 05-15 12:59:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x9b0043… |
| 05-15 12:57:20 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | SELL | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xcc3c98… |
| 05-15 12:57:13 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xe38296… |
| 05-15 12:56:41 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x8952f0… |
| 05-15 12:56:32 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xc385e1… |
| 05-15 12:56:24 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0xbe6e04… |
| 05-15 12:56:17 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x90227f… |
| 05-15 12:55:52 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x107164… |
| 05-15 12:55:45 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x230a8f… |
| 05-15 12:06:56 | Untimely-Swordfight 0xbdd0…fb81 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xd0993e… |
| 05-15 12:04:39 | Untried-Dissemination 0xc17e…906a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x828a7b… |
| 05-15 11:59:31 | Magnificent-Independent 0xd3b1…c4d3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xb863f0… |
| 05-15 10:39:24 | Candid-Shovel 0x5b44…e2fc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x192bd6… |
| 05-15 10:31:05 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x66cff1… |
| 05-15 10:30:18 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc343c6… |
| 05-15 10:14:28 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x4132c9… |
| 05-15 10:10:16 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8d29db… |
| 05-15 09:59:23 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xbdbbe3… |
| 05-15 09:56:54 | Uncommon-Hair 0x17f4…db67 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x09e1e9… |
| 05-15 09:50:27 | Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | BUY | 84 | 24¢ | $20 | 0xc5d554… |
| 05-15 09:14:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x332812… |
| 05-15 09:00:05 | Unequaled-Receptor 0x9e09…ee02 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x0094b5… |
| 05-15 07:54:21 | Enraged-Pita 0x5c70…edf3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xdd076e… |
| 05-15 03:55:46 | Bruised-Steppingstone 0xf73f…ee53 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xecd9f5… |
| 05-15 03:18:26 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x3cec13… |
| 05-15 03:15:25 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x95c8d2… |
| 05-15 02:10:16 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xcfe4dc… |
| 05-15 00:52:48 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x87aa93… |
| 05-14 23:40:35 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9343b6… |
| 05-14 22:12:39 | Acceptable-Peak 0x87b4…2656 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x20b43d… |
| 05-14 21:47:28 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x796fe1… |
| 05-14 21:37:47 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xe66659… |
| 05-14 21:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x153863… |
| 05-14 21:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xdc0152… |
| 05-14 21:13:14 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x93116e… |
| 05-14 21:13:09 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x7cc6d9… |
| 05-14 21:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd06d8f… |
| 05-14 20:52:49 | Forked-Disco 0x90e7…6f0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf2b877… |
| 05-14 20:28:59 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x5ce36a… |
| 05-14 20:25:05 | Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x2bb4b7… |
| 05-14 19:29:40 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xdcc04c… |
| 05-14 19:23:36 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7b8e11… |
| 05-14 19:16:30 | Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x82fafe… |
| 05-14 18:57:08 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc5ee57… |
| 05-14 18:57:07 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf8a7b6… |
| 05-14 18:55:15 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x86d61e… |
| 05-14 18:45:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xf61e47… |
| 05-14 18:32:16 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x24dff3… |
| 05-14 18:32:16 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xec0904… |
| 05-14 18:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xde7abf… |
| 05-14 18:32:07 | Burly-Ounce-Silver 0x4d16…fb11 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x8a5330… |
| 05-14 18:32:03 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xf5daa1… |
| 05-14 18:32:03 | (anonymous) 0xe217…9cbd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x9dcdd9… |
| 05-14 16:34:26 | Wet-Influx 0x0b76…1a84 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x2f4b16… |
| 05-14 15:49:03 | Upset-Potato 0x951c…d8c7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x91aa8b… |
| 05-14 15:14:24 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xc8e1c2… |
| 05-14 14:33:53 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6a1769… |
| 05-14 14:28:12 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 22 | 70¢ | $15 | 0x85cba2… |
| 05-14 14:26:14 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x3cb77e… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x9c51d6… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x9d7a7e… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Feline-Lamb 0xdff0…5865 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x0dc86a… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x634368… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x3cb131… |
| 05-14 14:26:13 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xab0e23… |
| 05-14 11:04:26 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3b2423… |
| 05-14 07:09:09 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x34fdd0… |
| 05-14 05:10:53 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xd4d6be… |
| 05-14 05:10:49 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd17566… |
| 05-14 04:05:41 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x59a374… |
| 05-14 01:40:39 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | SELL | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xf01fe6… |
| 05-14 01:40:28 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xbead82… |
| 05-14 01:40:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xffa881… |
| 05-13 04:36:14 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xcb302b… |