Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$104

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

72 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$211

$1.92K lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$106

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-03 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 42% -$257

Politics

21% 44% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+100	$96	94¢	$94	-$2	11-03 13:53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+80	$52	13¢	$10	-$42	10-01 08:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	+25	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	10-01 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	4	$318	330	180	+150	Yes	+$74	09-25 12:33
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	2	$145	170	0	+170	No	+$25	09-29 15:08
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	3	$129	150	0	+150	Yes	+$21	10-01 08:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	09-14 14:44
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	10-25 20:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	11-03 13:53
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	3	$93	395	0	+395	No	-$93	09-18 08:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	3	$92	60	60	+0	Yes	+$14	09-17 08:40
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$91	100	50	+50	Yes	+$1	10-27 20:11
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	2	$66	92	0	+92	Yes	-$66	10-21 21:28
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	3	$61	325	0	+325	No	-$61	09-25 15:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	2	$52	80	0	+80	open	—	10-01 08:34
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$48	50	50	+0	No	-$30	10-27 20:15
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	1	$48	100	0	+100	No	-$48	09-25 15:42
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	2	$38	25	25	+0	No	-$2	02-19 21:00
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	1	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	-$30	02-13 11:58
UK Recession in 2026?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	10-02 10:41
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	+$5	10-02 10:45
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	+$5	10-27 21:04
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	02-16 20:50
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	1	$24	50	0	+50	No	-$24	09-16 20:24
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in September?	1	$23	26	0	+26	No	+$3	10-02 10:36
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	3	$23	187	0	+187	No	-$23	09-15 20:42
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	1	$22	40	0	+40	Yes	+$18	10-21 10:08
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	02-13 11:57
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	2	$20	30	30	+0	Bibi	-$19	10-28 07:57
Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	1	$19	25	0	+25	No	+$6	10-02 10:53
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	1	$19	60	0	+60	No	-$19	10-02 10:35
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	5	$18	180	180	+0	No	+$1	09-16 20:03
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	1	$13	50	0	+50	No	-$13	09-30 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:53:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x06c521…
10-28 07:57:14	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x78e803…
10-27 21:14:38	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xf8e1f2…
10-27 21:04:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x63577d…
10-27 20:59:15	Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xd0a5b3…
10-27 20:15:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xa912db…
10-27 20:11:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xd85de0…
10-27 20:09:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xb1bfce…
10-27 14:19:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x74db2f…
10-27 14:16:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x8eb034…
10-26 10:42:42	Will Amir Zuccolo win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x1e217b…
10-26 10:42:42	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x0fccb6…
10-26 10:42:41	Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x42b5ae…
10-25 20:37:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x14903c…
10-21 21:28:35	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc4bc4e…
10-21 10:08:18	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x734a1e…
10-09 18:12:23	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdda77c…
10-02 10:55:54	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x256a05…
10-02 10:53:35	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x7a707c…
10-02 10:47:11	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xb4fb60…
10-02 10:45:09	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xf1a170…
10-02 10:41:15	UK Recession in 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x143ece…
10-02 10:36:53	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xddd3a9…
10-02 10:35:15	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x5872ea…
10-02 09:01:32	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf62bb0…
10-02 09:01:05	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x398113…
10-02 08:59:30	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe93c32…
10-01 14:21:18	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x967c29…
10-01 08:34:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x4ffaf6…
10-01 08:32:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xd4d196…
10-01 08:32:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9478ac…
10-01 08:30:29	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x30c97c…
09-30 12:08:02	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc6b469…
09-29 15:08:06	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x4d5dad…
09-25 15:44:54	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xec5c4c…
09-25 15:43:47	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x7124c0…
09-25 15:43:21	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x99b220…
09-25 15:42:48	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x1b3ba8…
09-25 15:41:50	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x7efcb5…
09-25 12:33:57	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x6872f5…
09-18 08:28:46	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	160	23¢	$37	0x95e1c0…
09-18 08:27:25	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	160	20¢	$32	0x8df967…
09-17 08:44:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	66¢	$68	0x762afa…
09-17 08:41:54	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	69¢	$53	0xb8165d…
09-17 08:40:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0x7c36cc…
09-16 20:24:16	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x14b6c1…
09-16 20:18:06	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0x48da65…
09-16 20:03:04	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	180	5¢	$10	0x170a15…
09-15 20:42:54	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xafb4e2…
09-15 20:42:52	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x2d2dfd…
09-15 20:37:42	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	139	12¢	$17	0xdad512…
09-14 14:57:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xf913e2…
09-14 14:57:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd74341…
09-14 14:49:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	34¢	$61	0x3b0c3b…
09-14 14:44:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa634ce…
09-14 12:44:15	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x5eb205…
09-14 12:44:13	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x6e91e7…
09-14 12:39:36	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xaa1ea3…
09-11 20:36:06	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x877cd5…
09-11 20:35:19	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5e1c81…
09-11 11:30:28	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd543e8…
02-19 21:00:42	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xc78f42…
02-16 20:53:53	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3e0eea…
02-16 20:50:41	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt7	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x2f7fe9…
02-13 12:40:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in january 758	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaf9bc8…
02-13 12:21:53	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in january 418	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcfbd9d…
02-13 12:03:17	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in january 214	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xcb3cb3…
02-13 11:59:03	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in january 684	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x16182c…
02-13 11:58:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xea138a…
02-13 11:57:53	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in january 763	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x88ef10…
02-13 11:57:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x583e4f…