(anonymous) 0xd15c1a…cea712 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$285
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved (30d)
20
Trades (30d)
97
152 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.87K
$4.17K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.29K
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 11-11 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
52% 42% -$257
Politics
45% 50% -$44
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +500 $405 84¢ $420 +$15 11-10 19:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $165 76¢ $153 -$12 11-11 15:14
Will the Democrats win Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +220 $128 65¢ $143 +$15 11-10 18:43
Will the Republicans win Pennsylvania in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +250 $80 33¢ $82 +$3 11-10 15:54
Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +500 $73 16¢ $82 +$9 11-10 19:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +105 $63 66¢ $69 +$6 11-07 12:57
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +70 $64 97¢ $68 +$4 11-09 22:31
Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $47 92¢ $46 -$1 11-11 09:34
Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +36 $31 86¢ $31 +$0 11-05 21:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +30 $29 97¢ $29 +$0 11-09 21:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +50 $24 54¢ $27 +$3 11-09 21:50
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $23 26¢ $26 +$4 11-10 09:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +105 $18 18¢ $19 +$1 11-07 12:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +30 $18 61¢ $18 $0 11-05 20:18
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $9 88¢ $13 +$5 10-02 10:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $11 12¢ $12 +$1 11-10 13:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +105 $9 10¢ $10 +$1 11-07 12:57
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +10 $4 83¢ $8 +$4 10-02 10:55
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in November? Yes +62 $6 12¢ $8 +$2 11-11 00:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +105 $7 6¢ $7 -$1 11-07 12:57
will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in november 2026 Yes +32 $3 13¢ $4 +$1 11-11 00:49
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? No +70 $14 5¢ $4 -$11 11-09 22:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +9 $19 33¢ $3 -$16 11-11 04:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +105 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 11-07 12:57
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? Yes +10 $5 16¢ $2 -$3 10-09 18:12