(anonymous) 0xd3dbcb…23b323
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$266
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
66
Trades
384
lifetime
Volume
$8.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.65K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 10-26 05:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
60% 79% -$155
Other
30% 89% -$112
Sports
10% 67% +$1
Crypto
1% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +599 $500 92¢ $548 +$48 09-09 07:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +266 $206 74¢ $196 -$11 09-22 08:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +335 $195 54¢ $182 -$12 09-30 18:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $118 80¢ $121 +$3 08-21 03:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +116 $101 96¢ $112 +$11 10-26 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +96 $91 100¢ $96 +$5 09-28 17:15
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +76 $56 78¢ $59 +$3 09-22 07:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $43 66¢ $46 +$3 10-04 14:59
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +43 $38 89¢ $38 +$0 09-20 18:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +44 $39 86¢ $37 -$2 10-13 18:57
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $28 92¢ $29 +$1 10-17 07:09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +28 $27 99¢ $28 +$1 09-29 07:07
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +28 $23 96¢ $27 +$4 08-08 19:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +34 $22 66¢ $23 +$1 10-04 14:58
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +89 $24 20¢ $18 -$6 09-22 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $16 90¢ $16 $0 10-26 05:06
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +16 $14 81¢ $13 -$1 10-26 00:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +60 $18 18¢ $11 -$7 07-24 19:49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +367 $9 3¢ $11 +$2 08-17 02:59
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 09-27 17:18
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +207 $10 3¢ $7 -$3 10-15 03:04
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 09-21 16:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +41 $6 12¢ $5 -$2 06-17 16:30
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:26
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +24 $13 18¢ $5 -$8 07-11 02:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$1 8¢ $0 +$1 10-22 00:38