Realized P&L (7d)
+$206
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
31
423 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$542
$9.49K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$512
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 11-04 05:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
61% 82% +$36
Other
29% 89% -$97
Sports
10% 67% +$1
Crypto
1% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +266 $206 95¢ $253 +$46 09-22 08:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +94 -$21 100¢ $94 +$115 11-04 05:11
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +76 $56 100¢ $76 +$20 09-22 07:12
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +43 $38 100¢ $43 +$5 09-20 18:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +367 $9 3¢ $11 +$2 08-17 02:59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $7 95¢ $9 +$2 09-21 16:49
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +8 $4 96¢ $8 +$4 11-04 02:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +60 $18 12¢ $8 -$10 07-24 19:49
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +207 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 10-15 03:04
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +24 $13 16¢ $4 -$9 07-11 02:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +41 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 06-17 16:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-22 00:38