Realized P&L (30d)
+$374
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved (30d)
26
Trades (30d)
70
431 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.16K
$9.86K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$739
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 11-08 03:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
59% 82% +$152
Other
31% 90% -$72
Sports
9% 67% +$1
Crypto
1% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +266 $206 100¢ $265 +$59 09-22 08:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +132 $126 98¢ $129 +$3 11-08 03:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +107 $99 92¢ $98 -$1 11-08 03:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +89 $74 92¢ $82 +$8 11-08 03:03
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +43 $38 100¢ $43 +$5 09-20 18:54
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +36 $36 98¢ $36 +$0 11-08 03:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +36 $33 94¢ $33 $0 11-08 03:04
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +367 $9 4¢ $16 +$7 08-17 02:59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $7 100¢ $9 +$2 09-21 16:49
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +8 $4 96¢ $8 +$4 11-04 02:25
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $8 32¢ $5 -$3 09-28 09:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +60 $18 8¢ $5 -$14 07-24 19:49
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +258 $11 2¢ $4 -$7 11-08 03:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +41 $6 7¢ $3 -$3 06-17 16:30
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +24 $13 11¢ $3 -$10 07-11 02:48