Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

101

Trades

702

lifetime

Volume

$998

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-10 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

49% 46% +$9

Politics

28% 69% -$7

Crypto

14% 33% -$41

Tech

5% 71% +$0

Sports

4% 75% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+11	$10	90¢	$10	+$0	07-07 16:13
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+1	$0	96¢	$1	+$0	06-17 12:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-01 08:23
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-03 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol jdg omg 2026 03 31	2	$170	96	95	+1	JD Gaming	+$20	03-31 13:27
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	90	$122	64	62	+2	Yes	$0	06-14 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	32	$47	65	48	+18	No	+$12	06-18 00:07
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5am et	26	$42	154	0	+154	Up	-$16	03-19 09:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	52	$40	30	19	+11	open	—	07-07 16:13
ethereum up or down march 19 2026 5am et	27	$37	226	0	+226	Up	-$11	03-19 09:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	33	$33	36	0	+36	No	+$3	06-19 22:09
solana up or down march 19 2026 5am et	27	$33	80	0	+80	Up	-$2	03-19 09:23
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	29	$28	29	1	+28	No	+$2	06-13 19:48
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	17	$27	554	554	+0	No	+$1	06-12 15:55
xrp up or down march 19 2026 5am et	24	$26	84	0	+84	Up	-$15	03-19 09:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	25	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	05-26 13:54
cs2 mglz bcg 2026 04 04	1	$23	28	0	+28	TheMongolz	+$5	04-04 10:11
lol gx th 2026 04 06 game1	1	$21	34	0	+34	GIANTX	+$13	04-06 13:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$20	24	23	+1	Yes	+$5	07-07 00:32
will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	21	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	07-07 14:30
cs2 ur tyloo 2026 04 01	5	$14	24	0	+24	TYLOO	-$14	04-01 16:25
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	16	$14	8	7	+0	No	+$0	06-14 03:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	13	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-29 14:27
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$12	6,000	500	+5,500	No	-$12	06-14 06:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	13	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-01 12:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	13	$9	15	13	+2	Yes	-$2	06-17 07:58
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	9	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-03 03:30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-17 19:09
cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	3	$7	16	0	+16	Vitality	-$7	04-12 07:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	15	$7	5	3	+1	No	+$0	06-16 12:38
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	4	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 00:06
dota2 gl vpp 2026 04 06	2	$6	8	0	+8	GamerLegion	-$6	04-06 02:05
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	4	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-28 15:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$5	3	2	+1	Yes	+$0	06-15 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 04:41:47	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x466c30…
07-08 07:32:22	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc37469…
07-08 06:29:38	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x961909…
07-08 06:29:17	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3dafa5…
07-07 21:06:14	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xabdc20…
07-07 16:13:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x99feba…
07-07 14:30:17	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xdb0538…
07-07 05:34:50	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6c0bae…
07-07 05:34:49	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3abb4c…
07-07 05:34:46	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa5f860…
07-07 05:34:31	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe03da7…
07-07 05:34:29	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x388443…
07-07 05:34:25	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0xf9ded4…
07-07 05:34:05	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0x93dc39…
07-07 05:33:44	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x985c1f…
07-07 05:33:43	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x89f8f4…
07-07 05:33:05	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x7674ed…
07-07 05:32:28	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe27bbc…
07-07 05:32:10	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xdf5bee…
07-07 05:31:34	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbed34f…
07-07 05:31:32	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x25936a…
07-07 05:31:16	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x20106b…
07-07 05:30:52	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x143a24…
07-07 05:30:50	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x98cb12…
07-07 05:30:50	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x58ea5d…
07-07 05:30:44	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4ecd2b…
07-07 05:30:43	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0d0090…
07-07 02:46:04	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x066da2…
07-07 00:32:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x4f19bc…
07-07 00:31:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xa55814…
07-07 00:31:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xf243f4…
07-07 00:18:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x15bb58…
07-07 00:09:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x21fc27…
07-07 00:09:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd22b94…
07-06 23:58:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6f1f26…
07-06 23:42:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xe8584c…
07-03 09:10:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x00ec19…
07-02 22:27:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ebe26…
07-02 21:21:35	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0x5508e8…
07-02 20:24:35	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x3b0f84…
07-02 16:08:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xcb72eb…
07-01 13:59:35	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x53ed63…
07-01 12:03:47	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x8d1844…
07-01 11:11:47	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xe3fc9e…
07-01 09:25:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x782ff9…
07-01 09:14:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xdabc14…
07-01 08:23:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb0f566…
07-01 08:23:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe07cd4…
06-30 20:48:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x800cd2…
06-30 19:09:53	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x18cb90…
06-29 11:35:38	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d75be…
06-29 10:41:26	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23dae3…
06-26 05:57:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x390a59…
06-22 13:29:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4424db…
06-22 13:19:26	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x3a9903…
06-21 07:29:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x541a88…
06-21 07:23:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x88c684…
06-21 03:52:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x99dbad…
06-21 00:13:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4c7d87…
06-21 00:12:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa88137…
06-20 22:34:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xcdcbb4…
06-20 21:57:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xf03469…
06-20 08:22:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xc345fc…
06-20 07:56:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3744f9…
06-20 07:56:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2c6acf…
06-20 07:55:02	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd6e3c6…
06-20 07:28:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x86068d…
06-20 07:23:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0x4a05c7…
06-20 07:11:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xdfe923…
06-20 05:18:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xf16610…
06-19 22:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb7804d…
06-19 22:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfd11ba…
06-19 22:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xda15e2…
06-19 22:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x64adfe…
06-19 22:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe33f0c…
06-19 22:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x243a5a…
06-19 22:08:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7f57c0…
06-19 22:08:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf74dac…
06-19 22:08:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc262ba…
06-19 22:08:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb65086…
06-19 22:08:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x075a94…
06-19 22:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0f8f34…
06-19 22:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x977f1f…
06-19 22:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x40f01a…
06-19 22:08:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa0f2d0…
06-19 22:08:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c01c7…
06-19 22:08:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd244ff…
06-19 22:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8702ec…
06-19 22:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x49fbfe…
06-19 22:08:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9778b7…
06-19 22:08:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x30f3fb…
06-19 22:08:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x972d1a…
06-19 22:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5436f7…
06-19 22:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x47d707…
06-19 22:08:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff3271…
06-19 22:08:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x015eb6…
06-19 22:06:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x28f698…
06-19 22:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2c3aaf…
06-19 22:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0a3295…
06-19 22:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe9357c…