Virtual-Methodology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-12 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 71% +$0

Other

21% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$507	254	254	+0	open	—	04-24 02:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$495	250	250	+0	open	—	04-18 03:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	8	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	06-12 09:14
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	4	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 11:47
will bnb reach 1100 in march	5	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 11:45
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	7	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 06:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 05:42
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	6	$389	195	195	+0	open	—	03-19 04:41
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	6	$383	192	192	+0	open	—	06-23 10:47
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	4	$381	192	192	+0	open	—	04-10 03:33
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	4	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 09:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	4	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	06-17 03:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	6	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-27 03:28
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	4	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	06-27 13:10
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-15 04:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	06-26 04:56
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 09:28
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 11:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	06-25 11:39
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-22 08:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	07-14 05:01
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	04-22 04:23
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	07-04 04:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	05-29 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$166	85	85	+0	open	—	05-20 05:05
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 03:48
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 05:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	4	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	08-12 03:02
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	06-12 09:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	9	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-18 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 03:05:16	ethereum above 2000 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc74f4c…
08-12 03:03:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd59b03…
08-12 03:02:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x840f73…
08-12 03:02:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x183a5a…
08-12 03:02:13	will xrp reach 2pt8 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5d4911…
08-12 03:02:04	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5b1ce3…
08-11 14:13:42	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8a2a2f…
08-11 12:14:46	will ethereum reach 1900 on august 11	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882c71…
08-11 12:10:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x48a051…
08-08 08:57:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x29302d…
08-08 08:56:03	will solana reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0cc5d8…
08-08 08:55:51	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x222772…
08-07 04:41:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c3e0f…
08-07 04:41:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc291f2…
08-07 04:37:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x433333…
08-07 04:37:00	will solana reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcc0c7c…
08-07 04:32:45	will xrp reach 2pt8 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd2efee…
08-07 04:28:10	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x731681…
08-07 04:26:28	will wti reach 120 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd23f5…
08-06 13:21:14	xrp above 1pt1 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7d7c08…
08-05 02:55:32	will wti reach 120 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d0da2…
08-05 02:54:41	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c445f…
08-05 02:53:08	xrp above 1pt2 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x13e34f…
08-01 03:29:26	xrp above 1pt3 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0614f3…
08-01 03:28:47	ethereum above 2000 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8f66c8…
07-31 10:59:02	ethereum above 2100 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92af76…
07-30 03:20:56	ethereum above 2100 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6a97d3…
07-30 03:19:17	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe3c9da…
07-30 03:18:53	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xe81d78…
07-30 03:18:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4a6887…
07-28 11:28:29	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8770ce…
07-28 11:27:17	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x57b209…
07-28 11:26:37	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdcd3cf…
07-28 11:26:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0473d9…
07-28 11:26:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb2ce8b…
07-28 11:25:49	ethereum above 2000 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x150f67…
07-28 11:25:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x957c59…
07-28 11:21:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xad5788…
07-28 11:20:23	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x80ef57…
07-28 11:20:14	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x879271…
07-25 04:29:30	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70b4ff…
07-25 04:28:57	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb24a55…
07-25 04:27:40	xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xfa39dd…
07-25 04:27:13	ethereum above 2000 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf2c69…
07-25 04:26:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdb21f7…
07-23 04:05:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x896dfc…
07-23 04:05:45	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x77f523…
07-23 04:05:04	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x60975e…
07-23 04:03:57	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf7a73b…
07-21 05:53:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98d2b9…
07-21 02:33:24	will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6cbb21…
07-21 02:33:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2d33e…
07-21 02:32:43	solana above 90 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf3fbc5…
07-21 02:31:37	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x846bd5…
07-18 04:58:09	ethereum up or down on july 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7955eb…
07-18 04:53:52	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbbdb89…
07-18 04:52:39	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb9422…
07-18 04:52:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x840d8d…
07-18 04:52:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x090356…
07-18 04:52:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3b7c5b…
07-15 04:39:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9b2136…
07-15 04:39:25	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4cdfc8…
07-15 03:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4ee974…
07-15 03:17:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf7b897…
07-15 03:17:31	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4240c5…
07-15 03:16:34	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xca4cc9…
07-15 03:16:17	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d7fb6…
07-15 03:16:05	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad9d5d…
07-14 05:01:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x6dda73…
07-10 05:21:52	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x95cc2c…
07-10 05:21:23	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb091e1…
07-10 05:21:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66ff52…
07-10 05:21:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x49b8cb…
07-10 05:20:56	will xi meet with takaichi by july 31 2026 20260626183128772	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa91024…
07-09 11:17:56	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x7823b5…
07-08 03:25:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a7564…
07-08 03:25:11	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab02fe…
07-08 03:23:49	will xi meet with takaichi by july 31 2026 20260626183128772	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x952e57…
07-08 03:23:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcfb8ee…
07-08 03:22:25	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02a3e3…
07-08 03:21:50	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8ecc4b…
07-08 03:21:04	ethereum above 1900 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf631e6…
07-04 04:21:38	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x0d35e4…
07-03 05:05:56	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x51e50c…
07-03 05:04:38	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x944477…
07-01 11:10:23	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0f2f83…
07-01 11:09:17	xrp above 1pt1 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xcf9ffc…
07-01 11:08:37	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x4f6963…
06-30 11:48:40	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa19314…
06-30 11:47:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1ff3d3…
06-30 11:47:37	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbef1f5…
06-27 13:11:08	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc110c0…
06-27 13:10:23	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6fb9d1…
06-26 04:57:35	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0f0fa8…
06-26 04:57:14	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdf7200…
06-26 04:56:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0223fe…
06-25 11:41:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x538a02…
06-25 11:40:38	gta vi released before november 2026	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1b7c3a…
06-25 11:40:23	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x881898…
06-25 11:39:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xbd701f…