Virtual-Methodology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$7.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$100

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-13 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 71% +$0

Other

25% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	+98	$98	100¢	$98	$-0	06-13 04:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-13 04:25
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-13 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$507	254	254	+0	open	—	04-24 02:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$495	250	250	+0	open	—	04-18 03:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	8	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	06-12 09:14
will bnb reach 1100 in march	5	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 11:45
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	7	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 06:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-17 05:42
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	6	$389	195	195	+0	open	—	03-19 04:41
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	4	$381	192	192	+0	open	—	04-10 03:33
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	4	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 09:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	6	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-27 03:28
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-15 04:49
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 09:28
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	06-13 04:24
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-22 08:43
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	04-22 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	05-29 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$166	85	85	+0	open	—	05-20 05:05
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 03:48
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 05:57
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	06-12 09:14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	3	$138	118	20	+98	open	—	06-13 04:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	9	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	04-18 03:00
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	02-27 03:28
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-09 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-06 00:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:02
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:33
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	05-22 03:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 03:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	06-10 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 04:25:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f7769…
06-13 04:25:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x891c66…
06-13 04:24:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6462d2…
06-13 04:24:24	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x057f2f…
06-13 04:21:42	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x05ea66…
06-13 04:20:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0c2c26…
06-13 04:20:12	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdfa526…
06-13 04:20:03	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xd1f73b…
06-13 04:19:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xeab4e1…
06-13 04:19:46	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc7fb67…
06-13 04:19:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x338521…
06-12 09:14:34	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x329937…
06-12 09:14:16	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9720c2…
06-11 03:18:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x734a19…
06-11 03:18:13	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x833add…
06-11 03:18:00	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x535cd3…
06-11 03:17:42	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d0d67…
06-11 03:17:33	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x99aa1d…
06-11 03:17:21	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe9e936…
06-11 03:17:06	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe1aef1…
06-11 03:16:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x079e92…
06-11 03:16:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x41e2f3…
06-10 06:54:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x107746…
06-10 06:54:46	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x3554cb…
06-10 06:54:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x552356…
06-09 03:19:43	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0816ba…
06-09 03:19:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f462f…
06-09 03:19:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x429f6d…
06-09 03:19:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x772a9b…
06-09 03:18:46	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6d44c5…
06-09 03:18:39	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc42b60…
06-06 03:43:48	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x075da4…
06-06 03:43:09	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2601c0…
06-06 03:42:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbea739…
06-05 08:25:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc96fa2…
06-05 08:24:54	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb46f08…
06-05 08:24:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x744f61…
06-04 03:15:58	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x21902b…
06-04 03:15:30	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5c2cc…
06-04 03:14:31	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd27d68…
06-04 03:14:10	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc0d38…
06-04 03:13:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x0a1149…
06-04 03:13:31	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3fd51b…
06-02 04:37:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a0c9f…
06-02 04:35:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x54468d…
06-02 04:33:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd09af3…
05-29 04:26:54	Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce23d5…
05-29 04:26:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb02e76…
05-29 04:26:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb61c5b…
05-29 04:25:09	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x44fae4…
05-29 04:23:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb830f…
05-29 04:23:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x10442a…
05-27 07:35:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x892041…
05-27 07:34:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb1d161…
05-27 07:34:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a8284…
05-27 07:34:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5626f2…
05-27 07:17:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x90a771…
05-22 03:31:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa37f33…
05-22 03:31:09	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd46e81…
05-22 03:31:02	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8d2045…
05-22 03:30:56	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa6766f…
05-20 05:07:23	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0954d1…
05-20 05:07:16	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6b7bf0…
05-20 05:06:54	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x30b84b…
05-20 05:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd82d3a…
05-20 05:06:05	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xebafae…
05-20 05:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xa135d2…
05-15 03:51:13	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e4337…
05-15 03:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xac674f…
05-15 03:48:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xfc8a23…
05-15 03:48:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xae871c…
05-13 13:12:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xae260d…
05-13 13:12:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x09e82c…
05-13 13:11:16	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb8e81…
05-12 06:14:57	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf308fd…
05-12 06:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1b56cd…
05-09 04:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4df7ec…
05-09 04:10:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x705d92…
05-09 04:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd39d6c…
05-09 04:08:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xd5a752…
05-09 04:07:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x476a84…
05-08 04:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8565bf…
05-08 04:25:05	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf14653…
05-08 04:24:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbfba00…
05-08 04:23:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 May 4-10?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaff474…
05-08 04:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xc7b118…
05-06 01:29:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6af9ca…
05-06 01:27:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x069679…
05-06 01:21:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6948b…
05-06 00:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x67cab3…
05-06 00:57:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc5169c…
05-06 00:56:00	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x01f738…
05-06 00:55:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3b40ce…
05-02 04:57:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1b12a7…
05-02 04:57:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba2f16…
05-02 04:57:18	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x784953…
05-02 04:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0dfc27…
04-30 08:14:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x697cb3…
04-30 04:43:04	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2fd783…
04-30 04:42:44	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xbee8e3…