Virtual-Methodology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

32.7%

Resolved

361

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$187

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 72% -$2

Other

26% 51% -$5

Tech

2% 38% -$14

Sports

0% 78% -$1

Politics

0% 61% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$98	100¢	$-100	-$2	04-30 04:42
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	+78	$78	100¢	$78	+$0	10-26 03:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+4	$2	80¢	$3	+$1	09-17 03:55
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	83¢	$2	$0	10-22 04:43
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$1	$0	10-26 04:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-26 04:01
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+1	$1	81¢	$1	+$0	10-12 09:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$2	28¢	$1	-$1	09-29 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$507	254	254	+0	No	$0	04-24 02:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$495	250	250	+0	No	+$1	04-18 03:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	8	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	06-12 09:14
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-30 11:47
will bnb reach 1100 in march	5	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-12 11:45
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	7	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-27 06:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-17 05:42
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	6	$389	195	195	+0	No	$0	03-19 04:41
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	6	$383	192	192	+0	No	$0	06-23 10:47
Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	4	$381	192	192	+0	No	$0	04-10 03:33
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	4	$326	165	165	+0	No	$0	09-19 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	4	$299	150	150	+0	No	$0	04-25 09:41
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-13 13:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	4	$236	118	118	+0	No	$0	06-17 03:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	6	$210	105	105	+0	No	+$0	02-27 03:28
will solana reach 150 in june 2026	4	$202	101	101	+0	No	$0	06-27 13:10
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$0	03-15 04:49
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 09:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-26 04:56
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 04:33
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	07-01 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$195	50	150	-100	open	—	04-30 04:42
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	06-25 11:39
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:56
Will Solana dip to $40 in August?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	08-26 08:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-28 05:41
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-11 03:25
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-22 08:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-14 05:01
Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	09-04 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:02:02	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x193f16…
10-26 04:01:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4aca22…
10-26 03:59:53	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x7dafce…
10-26 03:58:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1d1bc0…
10-26 03:58:38	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0ccdc5…
10-26 03:58:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x7d8c91…
10-22 04:43:51	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x670b7a…
10-22 04:43:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xad81e3…
10-22 04:42:20	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x620990…
10-22 04:41:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xcceee7…
10-22 04:40:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x017aa3…
10-22 04:40:29	Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd92735…
10-22 04:40:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0a413a…
10-20 04:55:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb42d45…
10-20 04:52:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x8ed981…
10-20 04:52:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6052ad…
10-20 04:51:24	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0xe809af…
10-20 04:51:17	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x2f5745…
10-20 04:50:53	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd93b9a…
10-20 04:50:39	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3c099…
10-20 04:50:30	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x7e75da…
10-16 02:29:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdf2ad2…
10-16 02:28:42	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x932173…
10-16 02:27:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaa2ae5…
10-16 02:27:15	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2d060b…
10-16 02:26:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x15e1ab…
10-16 02:25:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x8388b7…
10-14 03:55:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1fcc1e…
10-14 03:54:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3e97bb…
10-14 03:53:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xae14c3…
10-12 09:21:11	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x424e3b…
10-12 09:21:08	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc3e044…
10-12 09:21:01	Trump meets with Putin by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x009e52…
10-12 09:20:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3e80e6…
10-12 09:18:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3f4e71…
10-12 09:18:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x03a6c4…
10-09 04:38:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3748fd…
10-09 04:38:31	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x909d6f…
10-09 04:36:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x201f0d…
10-09 04:35:39	Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1ca6e1…
10-09 04:29:55	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xed0025…
10-07 05:00:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa9d923…
10-07 05:00:02	Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73fdf0…
10-07 04:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9a55cf…
10-07 04:58:29	Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x384c97…
10-07 04:58:26	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x30b2c2…
10-07 04:57:09	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x27e1dc…
10-07 04:56:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb1d31a…
10-07 04:56:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x176dd3…
10-07 04:51:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x0557a5…
10-05 12:05:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4f8eca…
10-05 12:04:58	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x50cc7f…
10-05 12:04:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x96ae88…
10-05 12:03:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x318692…
10-05 12:03:20	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x960614…
09-29 06:08:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x43eb88…
09-29 06:07:30	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x61d39c…
09-29 06:05:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x78cef8…
09-29 06:05:23	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6946db…
09-25 03:20:42	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x01a03f…
09-25 03:20:26	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28f653…
09-25 03:19:47	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb1fa4…
09-25 03:18:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb8ccbf…
09-25 03:18:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb04569…
09-25 03:17:12	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x23a18d…
09-25 03:17:03	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xc0988b…
09-23 03:07:53	Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3e19e…
09-23 03:07:29	Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9247b0…
09-23 03:07:14	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77fc82…
09-23 03:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdc8375…
09-23 03:06:19	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe53c21…
09-23 03:04:20	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x34597b…
09-23 03:04:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x2540d4…
09-19 03:12:52	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x59199d…
09-19 03:12:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd81bd…
09-19 03:12:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9df432…
09-19 03:10:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfc424b…
09-19 03:10:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x087f0a…
09-19 03:09:33	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x78bc0f…
09-17 04:01:09	ethereum up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90da77…
09-17 04:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3cbe7b…
09-17 03:58:43	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfa17ad…
09-17 03:57:22	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xdb6892…
09-17 03:55:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x26ca10…
09-17 03:43:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5b8d78…
09-17 03:43:30	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x7a326f…
09-15 02:23:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x963494…
09-15 02:22:33	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x97389f…
09-15 02:19:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x823b9d…
09-15 02:18:37	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xe1626f…
09-11 03:28:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x170ab4…
09-11 03:28:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9d9f5f…
09-11 03:27:34	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x523462…
09-11 03:26:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40559b…
09-11 03:26:13	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x25d0c9…
09-11 03:26:09	GTA VI released by September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfcda67…
09-11 03:25:54	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xde429b…
09-09 02:09:24	GTA VI released by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf20d92…
09-09 02:08:13	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x35187b…
09-09 02:06:52	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0a9cd4…