Immediate-Ring 0xdae3e4…30cf78
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
813
Trades
1,018
lifetime
Volume
$31.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$341
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-19 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
70% 30% -$2,083
Sports
25% 42% -$135
Politics
4% 13% -$470
Tech
1% 20% -$53
Crypto
1% 15% -$112
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -136 -$23 74¢ $-100 -$77 06-09 00:08
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +87 $60 56¢ $49 -$11 10-19 18:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -340 -$51 10¢ $-33 +$18 05-08 19:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -183 -$45 18¢ $-33 +$12 05-19 12:53
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -750 -$28 4¢ $-29 -$1 05-04 08:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -107 -$11 19¢ $-20 -$9 05-12 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -103 -$12 14¢ $-14 -$2 05-06 15:35
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -167 -$16 8¢ $-14 +$2 06-09 00:10
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -20 -$5 66¢ $-13 -$8 05-07 16:45
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -97 -$27 12¢ $-12 +$15 05-01 16:48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -385 -$11 3¢ $-11 $0 05-19 08:51
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes -21 -$10 20¢ $-4 +$6 06-10 21:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -103 -$76 4¢ $-4 +$72 05-20 19:30
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -170 -$10 2¢ $-3 +$8 07-29 17:13
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -596 -$25 0¢ $-2 +$23 05-12 22:52