Watchful-Fund 0xdc8347…aabcd2
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$233
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
30
1,121 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.6K
$352.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$11.2K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-27 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$5,288
Other
15% 55% +$3,164
Tech
7% 62% +$2,230
Crypto
6% 20% -$671
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,867 $6,470 94¢ $6.5K +$20 10-27 21:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,007 $1,893 96¢ $1.9K +$39 10-12 19:03
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,123 $564 74¢ $831 +$266 09-17 17:50
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +644 $344 76¢ $493 +$148 09-23 22:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$450 97¢ $-485 -$35 06-14 22:13
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +719 $675 62¢ $449 -$226 10-05 15:08
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +241 $146 70¢ $169 +$23 10-12 19:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $211 34¢ $137 -$73 10-27 20:19
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +416 $187 20¢ $85 -$102 09-10 16:56
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +200 $101 24¢ $47 -$54 09-23 17:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $76 26¢ $26 -$50 09-10 16:55
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $15 6¢ $6 -$8 05-14 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -28 $36 12¢ $-3 -$39 06-14 22:13