Watchful-Fund 0xdc8347…aabcd2
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$380
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
6
1,121 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.16K
$352.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$10.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-27 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$5,288
Other
15% 57% +$3,174
Tech
7% 62% +$2,066
Crypto
6% 20% -$671
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,867 $6,470 92¢ $6.3K -$152 10-27 21:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,007 $1,893 94¢ $1.9K -$2 10-12 19:03
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,123 $564 74¢ $825 +$261 09-17 17:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$450 96¢ $-480 -$30 06-14 22:13
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +644 $344 74¢ $477 +$132 09-23 22:09
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +719 $675 63¢ $453 -$222 10-05 15:08
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 Yes +241 $146 55¢ $131 -$15 10-12 19:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $211 31¢ $125 -$85 10-27 20:19
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +416 $187 22¢ $90 -$98 09-10 16:56
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +200 $101 26¢ $52 -$49 09-23 17:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $76 26¢ $26 -$50 09-10 16:55
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $15 6¢ $6 -$9 05-14 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -28 $36 12¢ $-3 -$39 06-14 22:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +84 $24 1¢ $1 -$23 09-30 22:25