Watchful-Fund 0xdc8347…aabcd2 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$10.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$371
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
125
Trades
1,128
lifetime
Volume
$354.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$13.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-03 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$5,288
Other
15% 57% +$3,231
Tech
7% 62% +$2,230
Crypto
6% 20% -$671
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,867 $6,470 96¢ $6.6K +$123 10-27 21:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,007 $1,893 96¢ $1.9K +$23 10-12 19:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $950 100¢ $1.0K +$50 11-02 14:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,123 $564 81¢ $909 +$345 09-17 17:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +900 $740 100¢ $899 +$160 11-04 16:13
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +644 $344 82¢ $528 +$184 09-23 22:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$450 98¢ $-490 -$40 06-14 22:13
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +719 $675 66¢ $478 -$197 10-05 15:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +240 $239 100¢ $240 +$1 11-03 23:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $211 58¢ $233 +$23 10-27 20:19
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +241 $146 66¢ $159 +$13 10-12 19:21
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? Yes +958 $907 14¢ $129 -$778 10-05 13:22
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +416 $187 19¢ $79 -$108 09-10 16:56
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +200 $101 18¢ $36 -$65 09-23 17:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $76 19¢ $19 -$57 09-10 16:55
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $15 6¢ $6 -$8 05-14 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -28 $36 8¢ $-2 -$38 06-14 22:13